Napoli at Fiorentina

Updated

Napoli

26.9%25.4%47.7%
Napoli WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.54
2Final Score 2

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Bologna-105
T 1-1 at Udinese-102
T 2-2 vs Roma-105
L 0-1 at Empoli-140
T 2-2 vs Frosinone-300
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Monza-190
L 1-2 at Hellas Verona+130
W 1-5 vs Sassuolo-165
T 1-1 vs Genoa-110
L 0-1 at Juventus+433

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+165+257+255+265+262+265+265+278.1
Fiorentina+155+111+105+110+109+110+111+117.5
Draw+255+250+250+250+257+250+257+262.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+181-+246-+170+240+246+278.1
Fiorentina+143-+110-+120+110+120+117.5
Draw+244-+248-+230+255+255+262.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +190 to +180
Fiorentina ML moved from +128 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Fiorentina ML moved from +125 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-133o2¾-102o2¾-107o2¾-106o2¾-107o2½-133o2¾+103
Underu2¾-108u2½+113u2¾-118u2¾-113u2¾-108u2¾-113u2¾-108u2¾-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-135o2½-135-o2½-135o2½-135o2½-135o2¾+103
Underu2½+115u2½+115u2½+115-u2½+105u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.16%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 414.42%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.88%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.60%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 033.55%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 021.35%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.10%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.51%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 060.31%
Exactly 130.50%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 048.92%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals10.22%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals24.22%
Wins by 3+ goals9.74%
Wins by 4+ goals3.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Fiorentina
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal16.56%
Wins by 2 goals7.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.47%
Wins by 3 goals6.59%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.84%7.16%
1.573.95%26.05%
2.549.06%50.94%
3.527.19%72.81%
4.512.78%87.22%
5.55.17%94.83%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.45%33.55%
1.529.81%70.19%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.65%21.35%
1.545.68%54.32%
2.520.23%79.77%
3.57.13%92.87%
4.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.49%29.51%
1.534.48%65.52%
2.512.50%87.50%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
7.16%
11.06%
8.54%
4.39%
1.70%
0.52%
1
7.82%
12.08%
9.33%
4.80%
1.85%
0.57%
2
4.27%
6.60%
5.09%
2.62%
1.01%
0.31%
3
1.56%
2.40%
1.85%
0.95%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.42%
0.66%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Napoli
1-07.82%
2-04.27%
2-16.60%
3-01.56%
3-12.40%
3-21.85%
4-00.42%
4-10.66%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.16%
1-112.08%
2-25.09%
3-30.95%
4-40.10%
Fiorentina
0-111.06%
0-28.54%
1-29.33%
0-34.39%
1-34.80%
2-32.62%
0-41.70%
1-41.85%
2-41.01%
3-40.37%
0-50.52%
1-50.57%
2-50.31%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
29.51%
21.09%
7.54%
1.80%
0.32%
1
14.92%
10.67%
3.81%
0.91%
0.16%
2
3.77%
2.70%
0.96%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.64%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-014.92%
2-03.77%
2-12.70%
3-00.64%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.51%
1-110.67%
2-20.96%
Fiorentina
0-121.09%
0-27.54%
1-23.81%
0-31.80%
1-30.91%
2-30.23%
0-40.32%
1-40.16%