Monza at Fiorentina

Updated

Monza

17.2%21.8%61.0%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.91
1Final Score 2

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Monza
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Lazio+350
L 2-1 vs Atalanta+291
L 0-1 at Torino+395
W 0-1 vs Cagliari+100
W 3-2 at Genoa+286
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 1-2 at Hellas Verona+130
W 1-5 vs Sassuolo-165
T 1-1 vs Genoa-110
L 0-1 at Juventus+433
L 2-1 vs Milan+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza+440-+500+560+554+560+560+582.9
Fiorentina-175--200-195-197-195-195-176.9
Draw+330-+370+350+356+350+370+365.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Monza-175-+520+450+425+510+520+582.9
Fiorentina+455--195-200-210-190-190-176.9
Draw+325-+335+325+290+335+335+365.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +475 to +460
Fiorentina ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Monza: 10.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Monza: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Monza ML moved from +475 to +458
Fiorentina ML moved from -180 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-111
Underu2¾-112-u2¾+102u2¾+102u2¾+106u2¾+102u2¾+106u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+110o3+110o3+105o2½-140o3+110o2½-140o2¾-111
Underu2½+115u3-130u3-130u3-125u2½+110u3-130u3-125u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.02%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 415.64%
Exactly 64.12%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.91%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.79%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 040.57%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.51%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 014.84%
Exactly 128.31%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 317.18%
Exactly 48.19%
Exactly 53.13%
Exactly 60.99%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.22%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 065.85%
Exactly 127.51%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 041.34%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.13%
Exactly 34.75%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Monza
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals36.23%
Wins by 3+ goals17.47%
Wins by 4+ goals6.94%
Wins by 5+ goals2.29%
Wins by 6+ goals0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Monza
Fiorentina
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Monza
Wins by 1 goal11.65%
Wins by 2 goals4.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals18.76%
Wins by 3 goals10.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.65%
Wins by 5 goals1.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.98%6.02%
1.577.07%22.93%
2.553.30%46.70%
3.531.04%68.96%
4.515.39%84.61%
5.56.60%93.40%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.43%40.57%
1.522.83%77.17%
2.56.32%93.68%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.16%14.84%
1.556.85%43.15%
2.529.85%70.15%
3.512.67%87.33%
4.54.47%95.53%
5.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.78%27.22%
1.537.36%62.64%
2.514.32%85.68%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Monza
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
6.02%
11.48%
10.96%
6.97%
3.32%
1.27%
1
5.43%
10.36%
9.89%
6.29%
3.00%
1.14%
2
2.45%
4.67%
4.46%
2.84%
1.35%
0.52%
3
0.74%
1.41%
1.34%
0.85%
0.41%
0.16%
4
0.17%
0.32%
0.30%
0.19%
0.09%
0.04%
Monza
1-05.43%
2-02.45%
2-14.67%
3-00.74%
3-11.41%
3-21.34%
4-00.17%
4-10.32%
4-20.30%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-06.02%
1-110.36%
2-24.46%
3-30.85%
Fiorentina
0-111.48%
0-210.96%
1-29.89%
0-36.97%
1-36.29%
2-32.84%
0-43.32%
1-43.00%
2-41.35%
3-40.41%
0-51.27%
1-51.14%
2-50.52%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Monza
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
27.22%
24.05%
10.62%
3.13%
0.69%
0.12%
1
11.37%
10.05%
4.44%
1.31%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.38%
2.10%
0.93%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.33%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Monza
1-011.37%
2-02.38%
2-12.10%
3-00.33%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.22%
1-110.05%
2-20.93%
Fiorentina
0-124.05%
0-210.62%
1-24.44%
0-33.13%
1-31.31%
2-30.27%
0-40.69%
1-40.29%
0-50.12%