Milan at Sassuolo

Updated

Milan

51.6%23.3%25.1%
Milan WinDrawSassuolo Win
1.78Projected Goals 1.17
0Final Score 0

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bologna-325
T 1-1 at Atalanta+145
W 2-4 vs Udinese-225
W 3-0 at Sassuolo-250
W 0-2 vs Atalanta-115
Sassuolo
Money Line
T 2-2 at Spezia+120
W 0-1 vs Lecce-120
L 0-3 at Juventus+540
L 3-0 vs Milan+625
W 3-1 at Bologna+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165-156-160-165-170-165-156-140.6
Sassuolo+420+415+420+440+411+440+440+433.5
Draw+310+323+310+340+326+340+340+338.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165----200-165-165-140.6
Sassuolo+450---+400+425+425+433.5
Draw+310---+280+325+325+338.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -170 to -182
Sassuolo ML moved from +440 to +420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -160 to -170
Sassuolo ML moved from +445 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-125o3-120o3-117-o3-117o3-117o3-102
Underu3-102u3+105u3+100u3-103-u3-103u3+105u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-115--o3-125o3-115o3-115o3-102
Underu3+100u3-105--u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.22%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 416.53%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.42%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.76%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 016.86%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.85%
Exactly 47.05%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 030.98%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.49%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 043.86%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.90%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 058.13%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals28.55%
Wins by 3+ goals12.79%
Wins by 4+ goals4.72%
Wins by 5+ goals1.45%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals9.89%
Wins by 3+ goals3.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.02%
Wins by 2 goals15.76%
Wins by 3 goals8.07%
Wins by 4 goals3.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal15.16%
Wins by 2 goals6.83%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.78%5.22%
1.579.35%20.65%
2.556.59%43.41%
3.534.20%65.80%
4.517.67%82.33%
5.57.91%92.09%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.14%16.86%
1.553.12%46.88%
2.526.40%73.60%
3.510.55%89.45%
4.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.02%30.98%
1.532.72%67.28%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.51%25.49%
1.539.66%60.34%
2.515.85%84.15%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
5.22%
6.12%
3.59%
1.40%
0.41%
1
9.30%
10.90%
6.39%
2.49%
0.73%
2
8.28%
9.70%
5.68%
2.22%
0.65%
3
4.91%
5.75%
3.37%
1.32%
0.39%
4
2.19%
2.56%
1.50%
0.59%
0.17%
5
0.78%
0.91%
0.53%
0.21%
0.06%
Milan
1-09.30%
2-08.28%
2-19.70%
3-04.91%
3-15.75%
3-23.37%
4-02.19%
4-12.56%
4-21.50%
4-30.59%
5-00.78%
5-10.91%
5-20.53%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.22%
1-110.90%
2-25.68%
3-31.32%
4-40.17%
Sassuolo
0-16.12%
0-23.59%
1-26.39%
0-31.40%
1-32.49%
2-32.22%
0-40.41%
1-40.73%
2-40.65%
3-40.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Sassuolo
Score0123
0
25.49%
13.83%
3.75%
0.68%
1
21.01%
11.40%
3.09%
0.56%
2
8.66%
4.70%
1.27%
0.23%
3
2.38%
1.29%
0.35%
0.06%
4
0.49%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
Milan
1-021.01%
2-08.66%
2-14.70%
3-02.38%
3-11.29%
3-20.35%
4-00.49%
4-10.27%
Draw
0-025.49%
1-111.40%
2-21.27%
Sassuolo
0-113.83%
0-23.75%
1-23.09%
0-30.68%
1-30.56%
2-30.23%