Fiorentina at Roma

Updated

Fiorentina

19.1%22.2%58.7%
WinDrawRoma Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.88
1Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Salernitana-240
L 0-1 at Milan+255
W 1-2 vs Bologna+110
L 1-0 vs Juventus+185
L 0-1 at Lazio+225
Roma
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sassuolo+105
W 1-3 vs Udinese-155
T 0-0 at Lazio+172
W 1-2 vs Lecce-190
L 0-1 at Inter+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+274+316+310+335+330+335+335+350.4
Roma+111-102-110-110-105-110-102-102.4
Draw+235+238+250+255+245+255+255+267.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+265-+295-+255+310+310+350.4
Roma+110-+100--115-105+100-102.4
Draw+235-+235-+220+240+240+267.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +339 to +330
Roma ML moved from +102 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +250 to +240
Roma ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2½+108o2¼-115o2¼-117o2¼-112o2¼-117o2¼-112o2¼-106
Underu2½-137u2½-128u2¼-105u2¼-103u2¼-102u2¼-103u2½-128u2¼+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+120o2½+120-o2½+115o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-106
Underu2½-140u2½-140u2½-140-u2½-145u2½-140u2½-140u2¼+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.78%
Exactly 223.49%
Exactly 415.90%
Exactly 64.31%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.48%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.07%
Exactly 71.75%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 037.89%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.84%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 015.26%
Exactly 128.69%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 316.90%
Exactly 47.94%
Exactly 52.99%
Exactly 60.94%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.72%
Exactly 223.27%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 310.24%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 063.80%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 041.88%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.86%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals6.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals34.30%
Wins by 3+ goals16.26%
Wins by 4+ goals6.35%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Roma
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal12.55%
Wins by 2 goals4.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals18.03%
Wins by 3 goals9.91%
Wins by 4 goals4.29%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.22%5.78%
1.577.74%22.26%
2.554.25%45.75%
3.531.93%68.07%
4.516.03%83.97%
5.56.96%93.04%
6.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.11%37.89%
1.525.34%74.66%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.74%15.26%
1.556.05%43.95%
2.529.09%70.91%
3.512.19%87.81%
4.54.25%95.75%
5.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.28%26.72%
1.538.02%61.98%
2.514.75%85.25%
3.54.51%95.49%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Roma
Score012345
0
5.78%
10.87%
10.22%
6.40%
3.01%
1.13%
1
5.61%
10.55%
9.92%
6.21%
2.92%
1.10%
2
2.72%
5.12%
4.81%
3.02%
1.42%
0.53%
3
0.88%
1.66%
1.56%
0.98%
0.46%
0.17%
4
0.21%
0.40%
0.38%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Fiorentina
1-05.61%
2-02.72%
2-15.12%
3-00.88%
3-11.66%
3-21.56%
4-00.21%
4-10.40%
4-20.38%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.78%
1-110.55%
2-24.81%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Roma
0-110.87%
0-210.22%
1-29.92%
0-36.40%
1-36.21%
2-33.02%
0-43.01%
1-42.92%
2-41.42%
3-40.46%
0-51.13%
1-51.10%
2-50.53%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Roma
Score012345
0
26.72%
23.26%
10.12%
2.94%
0.64%
0.11%
1
12.01%
10.45%
4.55%
1.32%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.70%
2.35%
1.02%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.40%
0.35%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-012.01%
2-02.70%
2-12.35%
3-00.40%
3-10.35%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.72%
1-110.45%
2-21.02%
Roma
0-123.26%
0-210.12%
1-24.55%
0-32.94%
1-31.32%
2-30.30%
0-40.64%
1-40.29%
0-50.11%