Lecce at Hellas Verona

Updated

Lecce

25.1%24.2%50.7%
Lecce WinDrawHellas Verona Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.68
0Final Score 2

Hellas Verona

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Milan+440
T 0-0 at Spezia+205
W 1-2 vs Lazio+275
W 2-0 at Sampdoria+185
W 1-2 vs Atalanta+270
Hellas Verona
Money Line
L 0-1 at Inter+800
W 0-2 vs Cremonese+125
T 1-1 at Torino+400
L 2-1 vs Spezia+110
L 1-0 vs Juventus+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+250+267+265+282+273+282+282+283.9
Hellas Verona+145+128+125+122+127+122+128+133.6
Draw+180+204+205+210+212+210+212+221.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+220---+200+260+260+283.9
Hellas Verona+140---+120+120+120+133.6
Draw+210---+195+215+215+221.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +290 to +255
Hellas Verona ML moved from +137 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +215 to +200
Hellas Verona ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-120o2-115o2-115o2-111o2-115o2-111o2-103
Underu2¼-115u2+102u2-105u2-105u2-104u2-105u2+102u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-130--o2-140o2-130o2-130o2-103
Underu2+125u2+110--u2+110u2+110u2+110u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.10%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.67%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 032.91%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 37.53%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Hellas Verona
Exactly 018.61%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 314.75%
Exactly 46.20%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.44%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 059.77%
Exactly 130.76%
Exactly 27.91%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hellas Verona
Exactly 045.91%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 213.91%
Exactly 33.61%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals9.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 2+ goals27.22%
Wins by 3+ goals11.74%
Wins by 4+ goals4.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Hellas Verona
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal15.48%
Wins by 2 goals6.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 1 goal23.43%
Wins by 2 goals15.48%
Wins by 3 goals7.59%
Wins by 4 goals2.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.77%23.23%
2.552.89%47.11%
3.530.65%69.35%
4.515.12%84.88%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.09%32.91%
1.530.52%69.48%
2.510.19%89.81%
3.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Hellas Verona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.39%18.61%
1.550.10%49.90%
2.523.79%76.21%
3.59.05%90.95%
4.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.56%27.44%
1.537.08%62.92%
2.514.13%85.87%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Hellas Verona
Score012345
0
6.12%
10.30%
8.66%
4.85%
2.04%
0.69%
1
6.81%
11.44%
9.62%
5.39%
2.27%
0.76%
2
3.78%
6.36%
5.35%
3.00%
1.26%
0.42%
3
1.40%
2.36%
1.98%
1.11%
0.47%
0.16%
4
0.39%
0.65%
0.55%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
Lecce
1-06.81%
2-03.78%
2-16.36%
3-01.40%
3-12.36%
3-21.98%
4-00.39%
4-10.65%
4-20.55%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-111.44%
2-25.35%
3-31.11%
4-40.13%
Hellas Verona
0-110.30%
0-28.66%
1-29.62%
0-34.85%
1-35.39%
2-33.00%
0-42.04%
1-42.27%
2-41.26%
3-40.47%
0-50.69%
1-50.76%
2-50.42%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Hellas Verona
Score01234
0
27.44%
21.36%
8.32%
2.16%
0.42%
1
14.12%
10.99%
4.28%
1.11%
0.22%
2
3.63%
2.83%
1.10%
0.29%
0.06%
3
0.62%
0.49%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Lecce
1-014.12%
2-03.63%
2-12.83%
3-00.62%
3-10.49%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-027.44%
1-110.99%
2-21.10%
Hellas Verona
0-121.36%
0-28.32%
1-24.28%
0-32.16%
1-31.11%
2-30.29%
0-40.42%
1-40.22%