Napoli at Sassuolo

Updated

Napoli

66.8%18.4%14.7%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.30Projected Goals 0.98
2Final Score 0

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Cremonese-500
W 3-0 at Spezia-270
W 1-2 vs Roma-130
W 2-0 at Salernitana-325
W 1-5 vs Juventus+108
Sassuolo
Money Line
T 2-2 at Udinese+275
W 0-1 vs Atalanta+280
W 5-2 at Milan+565
T 1-1 at Monza+240
L 2-0 vs Lazio+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-190-155-155-160-156-160-155-147.0
Sassuolo+460+438+400+475+445+475+475+458.0
Draw+360+305+310+305+333+305+333+343.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-180----200-160-160-147.0
Sassuolo+470---+405+410+410+458.0
Draw+330---+280+315+315+343.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -148 to -156
Sassuolo ML moved from +420 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Sassuolo ML moved from +450 to +410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3+121o2¾-112o2¾-113o2½-133o2¾-113o2½-133o2½-124
Underu2¾+105u3-143u2¾-108u2¾-107u2½+118u2¾-107u2¾-107u2½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+125--o3+110o3+130o3+130o2½-124
Underu3-130u3-145--u3-140u3-150u3-140u2½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-116 to u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u3-145

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%
 
No43.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.76%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 418.15%
Exactly 66.51%
Exactly 81.25%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.34%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 511.91%
Exactly 73.05%
Exactly 90.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 70.67%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 037.41%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.90%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.26%
Exactly 312.79%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 063.43%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 26.57%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals43.93%
Wins by 3+ goals24.07%
Wins by 4+ goals11.08%
Wins by 5+ goals4.34%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals4.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal22.85%
Wins by 2 goals19.85%
Wins by 3 goals12.99%
Wins by 4 goals6.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.89%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal9.78%
Wins by 2 goals3.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.24%3.76%
1.583.90%16.10%
2.563.66%36.34%
3.541.53%58.47%
4.523.38%76.62%
5.511.48%88.52%
6.54.97%95.03%
7.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.84%33.16%
2.540.31%59.69%
3.520.00%80.00%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.59%37.41%
1.525.81%74.19%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.10%21.90%
1.544.84%55.16%
2.519.59%80.41%
3.56.80%93.20%
4.51.95%98.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
3.76%
3.70%
1.82%
0.60%
0.15%
1
8.64%
8.50%
4.18%
1.37%
0.34%
2
9.92%
9.76%
4.80%
1.57%
0.39%
3
7.60%
7.47%
3.67%
1.20%
0.30%
4
4.36%
4.29%
2.11%
0.69%
0.17%
5
2.00%
1.97%
0.97%
0.32%
0.08%
Napoli
1-08.64%
2-09.92%
2-19.76%
3-07.60%
3-17.47%
3-23.67%
4-04.36%
4-14.29%
4-22.11%
4-30.69%
5-02.00%
5-11.97%
5-20.97%
5-30.32%
Draw
0-03.76%
1-18.50%
2-24.80%
3-31.20%
4-40.17%
Sassuolo
0-13.70%
0-21.82%
1-24.18%
0-30.60%
1-31.37%
2-31.57%
0-40.15%
1-40.34%
2-40.39%
3-40.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Sassuolo
Score0123
0
21.90%
9.97%
2.27%
0.34%
1
23.29%
10.60%
2.41%
0.37%
2
12.38%
5.64%
1.28%
0.19%
3
4.39%
2.00%
0.45%
0.07%
4
1.17%
0.53%
0.12%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Napoli
1-023.29%
2-012.38%
2-15.64%
3-04.39%
3-12.00%
3-20.45%
4-01.17%
4-10.53%
4-20.12%
5-00.25%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-021.90%
1-110.60%
2-21.28%
Sassuolo
0-19.97%
0-22.27%
1-22.41%
0-30.34%
1-30.37%
2-30.19%