Sassuolo at Milan

Updated

Sassuolo

8.4%13.8%77.9%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.74
5Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sassuolo
Money Line
T 1-1 at Monza+240
L 2-0 vs Lazio+255
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+345
L 2-1 vs Sampdoria-140
L 0-3 at Bologna+225
Milan
Money Line
L 0-4 at Lazio+160
T 2-2 at Lecce-140
T 2-2 vs Roma-120
W 2-1 at Salernitana-210
W 1-2 vs Fiorentina-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+600+590+500+600+608+600+608+624.6
Milan-265-214-225-212-205-212-205-191.3
Draw+440+369+390+370+376+370+390+387.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+550---+475+565+565+624.6
Milan-220----265-220-220-191.3
Draw+375---+335+370+370+387.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +525 to +500
Milan ML moved from -200 to -218

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sassuolo ML
Milan ML moved from -250 to -265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3-109o3-112o3-108o3-110o3-108o3-108o3-102
Underu3¼-122u3-109u3-108u3-112u3-105u3-112u3-105u3+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-125--o3-125o3-120o3-120o3-102
Underu3+110u3+105--u3-105u3+100u3+105u3+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.89%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 419.00%
Exactly 67.96%
Exactly 81.79%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.23%
Exactly 321.44%
Exactly 513.47%
Exactly 74.03%
Exactly 90.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 044.71%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.49%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.46%
Exactly 117.69%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 415.16%
Exactly 58.31%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 80.51%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.37%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 45.86%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 314.28%
Exactly 51.92%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 068.89%
Exactly 125.67%
Exactly 24.78%
Exactly 30.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 028.12%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 222.63%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals2.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals57.31%
Wins by 3+ goals35.95%
Wins by 4+ goals19.23%
Wins by 5+ goals8.85%
Wins by 6+ goals3.53%
Wins by 7+ goals1.22%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Sassuolo
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal6.02%
Wins by 2 goals1.84%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal20.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.36%
Wins by 3 goals16.72%
Wins by 4 goals10.38%
Wins by 5 goals5.32%
Wins by 6 goals2.31%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.11%2.89%
1.586.88%13.12%
2.568.74%31.26%
3.547.30%52.70%
4.528.31%71.69%
5.514.84%85.16%
6.56.88%93.12%
7.52.85%97.15%
8.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.29%44.71%
1.519.30%80.70%
2.54.81%95.19%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.54%6.46%
1.575.85%24.15%
2.551.61%48.39%
3.529.47%70.53%
4.514.31%85.69%
5.56.00%94.00%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.63%19.37%
1.548.83%51.17%
2.522.74%77.26%
3.58.46%91.54%
4.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sassuolo
Milan
Score012345
0
2.89%
7.91%
10.84%
9.90%
6.78%
3.72%
1
2.32%
6.37%
8.72%
7.97%
5.46%
2.99%
2
0.94%
2.56%
3.51%
3.21%
2.20%
1.20%
3
0.25%
0.69%
0.94%
0.86%
0.59%
0.32%
Sassuolo
1-02.32%
2-00.94%
2-12.56%
3-00.25%
3-10.69%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-02.89%
1-16.37%
2-23.51%
3-30.86%
4-40.12%
Milan
0-17.91%
0-210.84%
1-28.72%
0-39.90%
1-37.97%
2-33.21%
0-46.78%
1-45.46%
2-42.20%
3-40.59%
0-53.72%
1-52.99%
2-51.20%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Sassuolo
Milan
Score0123456
0
19.37%
24.58%
15.59%
6.59%
2.09%
0.53%
0.11%
1
7.22%
9.16%
5.81%
2.46%
0.78%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.35%
1.71%
1.08%
0.46%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Sassuolo
1-07.22%
2-01.35%
2-11.71%
3-00.17%
3-10.21%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-019.37%
1-19.16%
2-21.08%
Milan
0-124.58%
0-215.59%
1-25.81%
0-36.59%
1-32.46%
2-30.46%
0-42.09%
1-40.78%
2-40.15%
0-50.53%
1-50.20%
0-60.11%