Milan at Hellas Verona

Updated

Milan

58.9%22.2%18.9%
Milan WinDrawWin
1.89Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 1

Hellas Verona

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Juventus+110
W 3-1 at Empoli-175
L 2-1 vs Napoli+130
W 2-1 at Sampdoria-200
W 2-3 vs Inter+175
Hellas Verona
Money Line
L 1-2 at Salernitana+175
L 2-1 vs Udinese+245
L 0-2 at Fiorentina+320
L 0-2 at Lazio+460
W 1-2 vs Sampdoria+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-157-186-190-182--182-182-162.0
Hellas Verona+450+534+500+535-+535+535+560.3
Draw+305+331+320+330-+330+331+334.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-175----245-190-190-162.0
Hellas Verona+475---+525+550+550+560.3
Draw+310---+285+315+315+334.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -191 to -198
Hellas Verona ML moved from +550 to +535

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -230 to -245
Hellas Verona ML moved from +575 to +550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128o3+119o2¾-108o2¾-112-o2¾-112o2¾-108o2½-128
Underu2½+108u3-139u2¾-112u2¾-108-u2¾-108u3-139u2½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-140--o2½-145o2½-140o2½-140o2½-128
Underu2½+110u2½+120--u2½+115u2½+120u2½+120u2½+128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+110 to o2½-145
The Under moved from u2½+105 to u2½-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.75%
Exactly 223.45%
Exactly 415.94%
Exactly 64.34%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.42%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.11%
Exactly 71.77%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 015.13%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.98%
Exactly 48.02%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Hellas Verona
Exactly 037.97%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.64%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 041.72%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hellas Verona
Exactly 063.87%
Exactly 128.63%
Exactly 26.42%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals34.54%
Wins by 3+ goals16.43%
Wins by 4+ goals6.44%
Wins by 5+ goals2.10%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 2+ goals6.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Hellas Verona
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals18.10%
Wins by 3 goals9.99%
Wins by 4 goals4.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.55%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 1 goal12.46%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.25%5.75%
1.577.84%22.16%
2.554.39%45.61%
3.532.07%67.93%
4.516.12%83.88%
5.57.02%92.98%
6.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.87%15.13%
1.556.29%43.71%
2.529.31%70.69%
3.512.33%87.67%
4.54.31%95.69%
5.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Hellas Verona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.03%37.97%
1.525.26%74.74%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.36%26.64%
1.538.12%61.88%
2.514.81%85.19%
3.54.54%95.46%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Hellas Verona
Score01234
0
5.75%
5.56%
2.69%
0.87%
0.21%
1
10.85%
10.51%
5.09%
1.64%
0.40%
2
10.24%
9.92%
4.80%
1.55%
0.38%
3
6.45%
6.24%
3.02%
0.98%
0.24%
4
3.04%
2.95%
1.43%
0.46%
0.11%
5
1.15%
1.11%
0.54%
0.17%
0.04%
Milan
1-010.85%
2-010.24%
2-19.92%
3-06.45%
3-16.24%
3-23.02%
4-03.04%
4-12.95%
4-21.43%
4-30.46%
5-01.15%
5-11.11%
5-20.54%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.75%
1-110.51%
2-24.80%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Hellas Verona
0-15.56%
0-22.69%
1-25.09%
0-30.87%
1-31.64%
2-31.55%
0-40.21%
1-40.40%
2-40.38%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Hellas Verona
Score0123
0
26.64%
11.95%
2.68%
0.40%
1
23.29%
10.44%
2.34%
0.35%
2
10.18%
4.57%
1.02%
0.15%
3
2.97%
1.33%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.65%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-023.29%
2-010.18%
2-14.57%
3-02.97%
3-11.33%
3-20.30%
4-00.65%
4-10.29%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-026.64%
1-110.44%
2-21.02%
Hellas Verona
0-111.95%
0-22.68%
1-22.34%
0-30.40%
1-30.35%
2-30.15%