Milan at Empoli

Updated

Milan

66.7%19.2%14.1%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.16Projected Goals 0.88
3Final Score 1

Empoli

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Napoli+130
W 2-1 at Sampdoria-200
W 2-3 vs Inter+175
T 0-0 at Sassuolo-165
W 0-2 vs Bologna-325
Empoli
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bologna+240
L 2-1 vs Roma+420
T 2-2 at Salernitana+220
T 1-1 vs Hellas Verona+170
T 1-1 at Lecce+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165-168-170-167-180-167-167-152.1
Empoli+460+468+440+475+450+475+475+510.2
Draw+290+323+330+323+326+323+330+329.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-160----190-175-175-152.1
Empoli+430---+400+475+475+510.2
Draw+305---+265+315+315+329.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -160 to -167
Empoli ML moved from +440 to +420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Empoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Empoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -165 to -175
Empoli ML moved from +450 to +440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o3+114o2¾-115o2¾-113-o2¾-113o2¾-113o2½-126
Underu2½-102u3-134u2¾-105u2¾-107-u2¾-107u3-134u2½+126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-135--o2½-145o2½-140o2½-135o2½-126
Underu2½+100u2½+115--u2½+115u2½+120u2½+120u2½+126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.81%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.22%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.59%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.32%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 011.56%
Exactly 124.94%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 319.35%
Exactly 410.44%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 70.50%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Empoli
Exactly 041.58%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.01%
Exactly 34.68%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.53%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Empoli
Exactly 066.61%
Exactly 127.07%
Exactly 25.50%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals42.82%
Wins by 3+ goals22.67%
Wins by 4+ goals10.01%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Empoli
Wins by 2+ goals4.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Empoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals12.66%
Wins by 4 goals6.27%
Wins by 5 goals2.55%
Empoli
Wins by 1 goal9.69%
Wins by 2 goals3.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.19%4.81%
1.580.61%19.39%
2.558.47%41.53%
3.536.07%63.93%
4.519.07%80.93%
5.58.75%91.25%
6.53.53%96.47%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.44%11.56%
1.563.50%36.50%
2.536.59%63.41%
3.517.24%82.76%
4.56.80%93.20%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Empoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.42%41.58%
1.521.93%78.07%
2.55.92%94.08%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.47%24.53%
1.541.00%59.00%
2.516.78%83.22%
3.55.43%94.57%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Empoli
Score01234
0
4.81%
4.22%
1.85%
0.54%
0.12%
1
10.37%
9.10%
3.99%
1.17%
0.26%
2
11.19%
9.82%
4.31%
1.26%
0.28%
3
8.05%
7.06%
3.10%
0.91%
0.20%
4
4.34%
3.81%
1.67%
0.49%
0.11%
5
1.87%
1.64%
0.72%
0.21%
0.05%
Milan
1-010.37%
2-011.19%
2-19.82%
3-08.05%
3-17.06%
3-23.10%
4-04.34%
4-13.81%
4-21.67%
4-30.49%
5-01.87%
5-11.64%
5-20.72%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-04.81%
1-19.10%
2-24.31%
3-30.91%
4-40.11%
Empoli
0-14.22%
0-21.85%
1-23.99%
0-30.54%
1-31.17%
2-31.26%
0-40.12%
1-40.26%
2-40.28%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Empoli
Score0123
0
24.53%
9.97%
2.02%
0.27%
1
24.50%
9.96%
2.02%
0.27%
2
12.24%
4.97%
1.01%
0.14%
3
4.08%
1.66%
0.34%
0.05%
4
1.02%
0.41%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-024.50%
2-012.24%
2-14.97%
3-04.08%
3-11.66%
3-20.34%
4-01.02%
4-10.41%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-024.53%
1-19.96%
2-21.01%
Empoli
0-19.97%
0-22.02%
1-22.02%
0-30.27%
1-30.27%
2-30.14%