Atalanta at Sassuolo

Updated

Atalanta

50.2%23.1%26.7%
Atalanta WinDrawSassuolo Win
1.81Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 0

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Monza-210
L 2-3 at Inter+300
W 1-3 vs Hellas Verona-215
L 0-1 at Salernitana-165
L 2-0 vs Juventus+140
Sassuolo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Fiorentina+155
T 2-2 at Sampdoria-115
L 2-1 vs Monza+115
L 2-4 at Inter+585
T 1-1 vs Bologna+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+119+114+115+125+102+125+125+132.9
Sassuolo+224+237+225+228+267+228+267+239.5
Draw+264+262+260+250+273+250+267+262.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+115-+120--115+120+120+132.9
Sassuolo+230-+221-+230+225+230+239.5
Draw+255-+249-+245+245+249+262.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +115 to +108
Sassuolo ML moved from +235 to +228

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 20.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -105 to -120
Sassuolo ML moved from +245 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3+112o2¾-118o2¾-115o3+102o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-104
Underu3-117u3-132u2¾-102u2¾-105u3-116u2¾-105u3-116u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+105o3+108-o3-110o3+110o3+110o2¾-104
Underu3-115u3-125u3-128-u3-120u3-130u3-120u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.7%
 
No40.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.71%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 417.11%
Exactly 65.32%
Exactly 80.89%
 
Exactly 114.39%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.45%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 016.52%
Exactly 129.74%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 316.08%
Exactly 47.24%
Exactly 52.61%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.30%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 311.47%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 043.44%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 055.94%
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 29.44%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals27.73%
Wins by 3+ goals12.45%
Wins by 4+ goals4.61%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals11.01%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals15.28%
Wins by 3 goals7.84%
Wins by 4 goals3.19%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal15.63%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.29%4.71%
1.580.90%19.10%
2.558.91%41.09%
3.536.52%63.48%
4.519.42%80.58%
5.58.96%91.04%
6.53.64%96.36%
7.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.48%16.52%
1.553.74%46.26%
2.526.96%73.04%
3.510.88%89.12%
4.53.65%96.35%
5.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.71%64.29%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.70%24.30%
1.541.32%58.68%
2.517.01%82.99%
3.55.54%94.46%
4.51.48%98.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Sassuolo
Score012345
0
4.71%
5.91%
3.71%
1.55%
0.49%
0.12%
1
8.48%
10.64%
6.68%
2.79%
0.88%
0.22%
2
7.64%
9.58%
6.01%
2.51%
0.79%
0.20%
3
4.58%
5.75%
3.61%
1.51%
0.47%
0.12%
4
2.06%
2.59%
1.62%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
5
0.74%
0.93%
0.59%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Atalanta
1-08.48%
2-07.64%
2-19.58%
3-04.58%
3-15.75%
3-23.61%
4-02.06%
4-12.59%
4-21.62%
4-30.68%
5-00.74%
5-10.93%
5-20.59%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.71%
1-110.64%
2-26.01%
3-31.51%
4-40.21%
Sassuolo
0-15.91%
0-23.71%
1-26.68%
0-31.55%
1-32.79%
2-32.51%
0-40.49%
1-40.88%
2-40.79%
3-40.47%
0-50.12%
1-50.22%
2-50.20%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
24.30%
14.12%
4.10%
0.79%
0.12%
1
20.26%
11.77%
3.42%
0.66%
0.10%
2
8.45%
4.91%
1.43%
0.28%
0.04%
3
2.35%
1.36%
0.40%
0.08%
0.01%
4
0.49%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-020.26%
2-08.45%
2-14.91%
3-02.35%
3-11.36%
3-20.40%
4-00.49%
4-10.28%
Draw
0-024.30%
1-111.77%
2-21.43%
Sassuolo
0-114.12%
0-24.10%
1-23.42%
0-30.79%
1-30.66%
2-30.28%
0-40.12%