Inter at Napoli

Updated

Inter

28.7%26.0%45.4%
Inter WinDrawNapoli Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.47
1Final Score 3

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Inter
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sassuolo-235
W 2-0 at Roma+140
W 6-0 at Hellas Verona-175
W 1-3 vs Lazio-130
W 3-0 at Empoli-180
Napoli
Money Line
L 0-2 at Monza+120
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina-125
T 1-1 at Udinese-170
T 1-1 vs Salernitana-485
W 1-0 at Juventus+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Inter+175+277+275+295+289+295+295+309.1
Napoli+162+103-105-105+101-105+103+102.2
Draw+238+254+260+270+270+270+270+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Inter+155---+230+260+260+309.1
Napoli+180----110+105+105+102.2
Draw+230---+235+250+250+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Inter: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Inter: 10.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Inter ML moved from +295 to +289
Napoli ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Inter: 10.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Inter: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Inter ML moved from +245 to +235
Napoli ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-109o2½-108o2½-106o2½-105o2½-106o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-109u2½-109u2½-112u2½-114u2½-110u2½-114u2½-109u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-115--o2½-120o2½-110o2½-110o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-105--u2½-110u2½-110u2½-105u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.51%
Exactly 225.17%
Exactly 414.06%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.44%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.28%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.15%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.66%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 059.64%
Exactly 130.82%
Exactly 27.96%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 050.56%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Inter
Wins by 2+ goals11.15%
Wins by 3+ goals3.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals22.26%
Wins by 3+ goals8.62%
Wins by 4+ goals2.68%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Inter
Napoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Inter
Wins by 1 goal17.44%
Wins by 2 goals7.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.01%
Wins by 2 goals13.64%
Wins by 3 goals5.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.49%7.51%
1.573.06%26.94%
2.547.89%52.11%
3.526.17%73.83%
4.512.11%87.89%
5.54.83%95.17%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.25%32.75%
1.530.69%69.31%
2.510.29%89.71%
3.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.31%56.69%
2.518.44%81.56%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.85%30.15%
1.533.70%66.30%
2.512.03%87.97%
3.53.37%96.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Inter
Napoli
Score012345
0
7.51%
11.06%
8.15%
4.00%
1.47%
0.43%
1
8.38%
12.34%
9.09%
4.46%
1.64%
0.48%
2
4.68%
6.89%
5.07%
2.49%
0.92%
0.27%
3
1.74%
2.56%
1.89%
0.93%
0.34%
0.10%
4
0.49%
0.72%
0.53%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Inter
1-08.38%
2-04.68%
2-16.89%
3-01.74%
3-12.56%
3-21.89%
4-00.49%
4-10.72%
4-20.53%
4-30.26%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.51%
1-112.34%
2-25.07%
3-30.93%
Napoli
0-111.06%
0-28.15%
1-29.09%
0-34.00%
1-34.46%
2-32.49%
0-41.47%
1-41.64%
2-40.92%
3-40.34%
0-50.43%
1-50.48%
2-50.27%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Inter
Napoli
Score01234
0
30.15%
20.57%
7.01%
1.59%
0.27%
1
15.58%
10.63%
3.62%
0.82%
0.14%
2
4.03%
2.75%
0.94%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.69%
0.47%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Inter
1-015.58%
2-04.03%
2-12.75%
3-00.69%
3-10.47%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.15%
1-110.63%
2-20.94%
Napoli
0-120.57%
0-27.01%
1-23.62%
0-31.59%
1-30.82%
2-30.21%
0-40.27%
1-40.14%