Roma at Napoli

Updated

Roma

18.2%21.5%60.2%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.95
0Final Score 1

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Bologna+125
L 2-3 at Hellas Verona-125
W 0-1 vs Torino-120
L 1-5 at Fiorentina+194
L 1-0 vs Inter+320
Napoli
Money Line
T 1-1 at Inter+360
L 3-0 vs Atalanta+117
W 2-0 at Milan+175
W 0-1 vs Lecce-315
W 1-0 at Empoli-155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+362+454+420+478+442+478+478+498.5
Napoli-125-142-145-143-146-143-142-131.7
Draw+274+266+275+265+260+265+275+277.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+375-+415-+450+480+480+498.5
Napoli-125--140--180-150-140-131.7
Draw+255-+265-+230+260+265+277.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Napoli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +420 to +400
Napoli ML moved from -128 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Napoli: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +370 to +345
Napoli ML moved from -150 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+107o2¼-118o2¼-116o2¼-115o2¼-116o2¼-115o2¼-105
Underu2½-115u2½-125u2¼-102u2¼-104u2¼-105u2¼-104u2½-125u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115o2½+105-o2½+105o2½+110o2½+115o2¼-105
Underu2½-125u2½-135u2½-125-u2½-135u2½-130u2½-125u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-121 to u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.4%
 
No46.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.36%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 416.37%
Exactly 64.67%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.69%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.58%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 037.79%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.89%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 014.19%
Exactly 127.71%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.60%
Exactly 48.59%
Exactly 53.36%
Exactly 61.09%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.81%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 063.73%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 040.50%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.55%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals6.18%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals35.98%
Wins by 3+ goals17.54%
Wins by 4+ goals7.06%
Wins by 5+ goals2.36%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Napoli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Roma
Wins by 1 goal12.02%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.12%
Wins by 2 goals18.45%
Wins by 3 goals10.48%
Wins by 4 goals4.69%
Wins by 5 goals1.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.64%5.36%
1.578.94%21.06%
2.555.99%44.01%
3.533.61%66.39%
4.517.24%82.76%
5.57.66%92.34%
6.52.99%97.01%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.21%37.79%
1.525.44%74.56%
2.57.54%92.46%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.81%14.19%
1.558.09%41.91%
2.531.04%68.96%
3.513.44%86.56%
4.54.85%95.15%
5.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.19%25.81%
1.539.24%60.76%
2.515.56%84.44%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Napoli
Score012345
0
5.36%
10.47%
10.22%
6.65%
3.25%
1.27%
1
5.22%
10.19%
9.95%
6.47%
3.16%
1.23%
2
2.54%
4.96%
4.84%
3.15%
1.54%
0.60%
3
0.82%
1.61%
1.57%
1.02%
0.50%
0.19%
4
0.20%
0.39%
0.38%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
Roma
1-05.22%
2-02.54%
2-14.96%
3-00.82%
3-11.61%
3-21.57%
4-00.20%
4-10.39%
4-20.38%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-05.36%
1-110.19%
2-24.84%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Napoli
0-110.47%
0-210.22%
1-29.95%
0-36.65%
1-36.47%
2-33.15%
0-43.25%
1-43.16%
2-41.54%
3-40.50%
0-51.27%
1-51.23%
2-50.60%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Napoli
Score012345
0
25.81%
23.33%
10.54%
3.18%
0.72%
0.13%
1
11.63%
10.51%
4.75%
1.43%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.62%
2.37%
1.07%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.39%
0.36%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Roma
1-011.63%
2-02.62%
2-12.37%
3-00.39%
3-10.36%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-025.81%
1-110.51%
2-21.07%
Napoli
0-123.33%
0-210.54%
1-24.75%
0-33.18%
1-31.43%
2-30.32%
0-40.72%
1-40.32%
0-50.13%