Atalanta at Napoli

Updated

Atalanta

17.9%20.7%61.5%
WinDrawNapoli Win
1.02Projected Goals 2.06
3Final Score 0

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Monza-330
W 1-6 vs Hellas Verona-335
W 2-0 at Venezia-165
W 1-5 vs Genoa-220
T 1-1 at Bologna+162
Napoli
Money Line
W 2-0 at Milan+175
W 0-1 vs Lecce-315
W 1-0 at Empoli-155
W 1-3 vs Como-202
W 0-2 vs Monza-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+215+234+230+248+235+248+248+260.1
Napoli+110+128+125+130+125+130+130+138.0
Draw+285+231+230+220+221+220+231+231.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+220-+231-+220+260+260+260.1
Napoli-105-+117--105+110+117+138.0
Draw+230-+245-+230+235+245+231.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +235 to +227
Napoli ML moved from +134 to +128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Napoli: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 30.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +268 to +230
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-105o2½+102o2½-103o2½+100o2½-103o2½+102o2½+106
Underu2½+102u2½-112u2½-122u2½-117u2½-122u2½-117u2½-112u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-110o2½-105-o2½-120o2½-110o2½-105o2½+106
Underu2½+100u2½-110u2½-115-u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.7%
 
No44.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.61%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 417.22%
Exactly 65.44%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.18%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.60%
Exactly 72.39%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 036.20%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 012.73%
Exactly 126.24%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.58%
Exactly 49.57%
Exactly 53.95%
Exactly 61.36%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.06%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 44.13%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 311.60%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 062.47%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 038.51%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals6.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals37.84%
Wins by 3+ goals19.16%
Wins by 4+ goals8.08%
Wins by 5+ goals2.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.88%
Wins by 7+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Napoli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal11.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.59%
Wins by 2 goals18.68%
Wins by 3 goals11.08%
Wins by 4 goals5.20%
Wins by 5 goals2.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.39%4.61%
1.581.21%18.79%
2.559.39%40.61%
3.537.01%62.99%
4.519.79%80.21%
5.59.19%90.81%
6.53.76%96.24%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.80%36.20%
1.527.02%72.98%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.27%12.73%
1.561.03%38.97%
2.533.98%66.02%
3.515.41%84.59%
4.55.83%94.17%
5.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.94%24.06%
1.541.67%58.33%
2.517.25%82.75%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Napoli
Score012345
0
4.61%
9.50%
9.79%
6.72%
3.47%
1.43%
1
4.68%
9.65%
9.95%
6.83%
3.52%
1.45%
2
2.38%
4.90%
5.05%
3.47%
1.79%
0.74%
3
0.81%
1.66%
1.71%
1.18%
0.61%
0.25%
4
0.20%
0.42%
0.43%
0.30%
0.15%
0.06%
Atalanta
1-04.68%
2-02.38%
2-14.90%
3-00.81%
3-11.66%
3-21.71%
4-00.20%
4-10.42%
4-20.43%
4-30.30%
Draw
0-04.61%
1-19.65%
2-25.05%
3-31.18%
4-40.15%
Napoli
0-19.50%
0-29.79%
1-29.95%
0-36.72%
1-36.83%
2-33.47%
0-43.47%
1-43.52%
2-41.79%
3-40.61%
0-51.43%
1-51.45%
2-50.74%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Napoli
Score012345
0
24.06%
22.96%
10.95%
3.48%
0.83%
0.16%
1
11.32%
10.80%
5.15%
1.64%
0.39%
0.07%
2
2.66%
2.54%
1.21%
0.39%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.42%
0.40%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-011.32%
2-02.66%
2-12.54%
3-00.42%
3-10.40%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-024.06%
1-110.80%
2-21.21%
Napoli
0-122.96%
0-210.95%
1-25.15%
0-33.48%
1-31.64%
2-30.39%
0-40.83%
1-40.39%
0-50.16%