Milan at Monza

Updated

Milan

53.2%24.2%22.6%
Milan WinDrawMonza Win
1.67Projected Goals 1.01
1Final Score 0

Monza

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Napoli+180
W 0-1 vs Udinese-300
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+100
W 0-3 vs Lecce-320
W 2-1 at Inter+435
Monza
Money Line
L 0-2 at Atalanta+1000
T 2-2 vs Venezia+115
W 3-0 at Hellas Verona+235
T 1-1 vs Roma+315
L 0-2 at Napoli+1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-145--165-160-167-160-160-146.4
Monza+420-+460+520+499+520+520+542.2
Draw+280-+295+286+282+286+295+299.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-165--173--195-160-160-146.4
Monza+350-+530-+450+475+530+542.2
Draw+255-+285-+250+280+285+299.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -154 to -160
Monza ML moved from +515 to +499

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -160 to -173
No Steam Moves On Monza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-109o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2¾-120-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-111u2½-115u2½-110u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-105o2½-110-o2½-125o2½+100o2½+100o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-115u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-110u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-122 to u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.83%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 414.77%
Exactly 63.55%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.33%
Exactly 322.01%
Exactly 57.93%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 018.66%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 314.72%
Exactly 46.18%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 036.60%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 36.19%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.86%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.23%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 045.96%
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 213.89%
Exactly 33.60%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 062.79%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals28.85%
Wins by 3+ goals12.53%
Wins by 4+ goals4.45%
Wins by 5+ goals1.31%
Monza
Wins by 2+ goals8.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Monza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals16.32%
Wins by 3 goals8.08%
Wins by 4 goals3.14%
Wins by 5 goals1.00%
Monza
Wins by 1 goal14.53%
Wins by 2 goals5.85%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.17%6.83%
1.574.84%25.16%
2.550.24%49.76%
3.528.24%71.76%
4.513.47%86.53%
5.55.54%94.46%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.34%18.66%
1.550.02%49.98%
2.523.72%76.28%
3.59.00%91.00%
4.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.40%36.60%
1.526.61%73.39%
2.58.12%91.88%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.14%28.86%
1.535.27%64.73%
2.512.99%87.01%
3.53.76%96.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Monza
Score01234
0
6.83%
6.86%
3.45%
1.16%
0.29%
1
11.47%
11.52%
5.79%
1.94%
0.49%
2
9.62%
9.67%
4.86%
1.63%
0.41%
3
5.39%
5.41%
2.72%
0.91%
0.23%
4
2.26%
2.27%
1.14%
0.38%
0.10%
5
0.76%
0.76%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
Milan
1-011.47%
2-09.62%
2-19.67%
3-05.39%
3-15.41%
3-22.72%
4-02.26%
4-12.27%
4-21.14%
4-30.38%
5-00.76%
5-10.76%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.83%
1-111.52%
2-24.86%
3-30.91%
Monza
0-16.86%
0-23.45%
1-25.79%
0-31.16%
1-31.94%
2-31.63%
0-40.29%
1-40.49%
2-40.41%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Monza
Score0123
0
28.86%
13.43%
3.13%
0.48%
1
22.43%
10.44%
2.43%
0.38%
2
8.72%
4.06%
0.94%
0.15%
3
2.26%
1.05%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Milan
1-022.43%
2-08.72%
2-14.06%
3-02.26%
3-11.05%
3-20.24%
4-00.44%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.86%
1-110.44%
2-20.94%
Monza
0-113.43%
0-23.13%
1-22.43%
0-30.48%
1-30.38%
2-30.15%