Lecce at Milan

Updated

Lecce

9.6%15.9%74.5%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.44
0Final Score 3

Milan

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Parma+110
T 0-0 at Torino+385
W 0-1 vs Cagliari+130
L 0-2 at Inter+1500
L 4-0 vs Atalanta+250
Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Inter+435
W 0-4 vs Venezia-385
T 2-2 at Lazio+160
L 1-2 at Parma-160
T 2-2 vs Torino-205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+672+868+800+1000+969+1000+1000+1039.2
Milan-251-330-345-345-354-345-330-297.7
Draw+412+491+500+490+500+490+500+511.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+700-+920-+655+800+920+1039.2
Milan-275--369--360-320-320-297.7
Draw+415-+495-+375+460+495+511.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +956 to +926
Milan ML moved from -335 to -345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +750 to +725
Milan ML moved from -357 to -369

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-109o3-141o3¼+100o3¼-102o3¼-101o3¼-102o3¼+100o3¼+107
Underu3-108u3+120u3¼-120u3¼-118u3¼-115u3¼-118u3+120u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-135o3-130-o3-120o3-140o3-120o3¼+107
Underu3-110u3+115u3+110-u3-110u3+120u3+120u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.10%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 417.78%
Exactly 66.05%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.10%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.36%
Exactly 72.76%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 047.06%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.37%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 08.71%
Exactly 121.27%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 412.87%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.79%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 312.28%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 070.54%
Exactly 124.62%
Exactly 24.30%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 032.31%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals2.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals51.92%
Wins by 3+ goals30.28%
Wins by 4+ goals14.85%
Wins by 5+ goals6.19%
Wins by 6+ goals2.20%
Wins by 7+ goals0.64%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal6.94%
Wins by 2 goals2.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.43%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.64%
Wins by 3 goals15.43%
Wins by 4 goals8.66%
Wins by 5 goals3.99%
Wins by 6 goals1.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.90%4.10%
1.582.80%17.20%
2.561.88%38.12%
3.539.61%60.39%
4.521.83%78.17%
5.510.47%89.53%
6.54.43%95.57%
7.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.94%47.06%
1.517.47%82.53%
2.54.10%95.90%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.29%8.71%
1.570.02%29.98%
2.544.07%55.93%
3.522.97%77.03%
4.510.10%89.90%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.21%22.79%
1.543.50%56.50%
2.518.58%81.42%
3.56.30%93.70%
4.51.76%98.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Milan
Score012345
0
4.10%
10.01%
12.21%
9.93%
6.06%
2.96%
1
3.09%
7.54%
9.20%
7.49%
4.57%
2.23%
2
1.17%
2.84%
3.47%
2.82%
1.72%
0.84%
3
0.29%
0.71%
0.87%
0.71%
0.43%
0.21%
Lecce
1-03.09%
2-01.17%
2-12.84%
3-00.29%
3-10.71%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-04.10%
1-17.54%
2-23.47%
3-30.71%
Milan
0-110.01%
0-212.21%
1-29.20%
0-39.93%
1-37.49%
2-32.82%
0-46.06%
1-44.57%
2-41.72%
3-40.43%
0-52.96%
1-52.23%
2-50.84%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Milan
Score012345
0
22.79%
25.75%
14.55%
5.48%
1.55%
0.35%
1
7.95%
8.99%
5.08%
1.91%
0.54%
0.12%
2
1.39%
1.57%
0.89%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Lecce
1-07.95%
2-01.39%
2-11.57%
3-00.16%
3-10.18%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-022.79%
1-18.99%
2-20.89%
Milan
0-125.75%
0-214.55%
1-25.08%
0-35.48%
1-31.91%
2-30.33%
0-41.55%
1-40.54%
0-50.35%
1-50.12%