Parma at Lecce

Updated

Parma

23.3%24.5%52.1%
Parma WinDrawLecce Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.65
2Final Score 2

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Parma
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Udinese+125
L 1-2 at Napoli+635
W 1-2 vs Milan+425
T 1-1 vs Fiorentina+260
L 0-3 at Sampdoria+340
Lecce
Money Line
T 0-0 at Torino+385
W 0-1 vs Cagliari+130
L 0-2 at Inter+1500
L 4-0 vs Atalanta+250
T 0-0 vs Roma+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+227+257+225+272+262+272+272+285.0
Lecce+127+111+120+110+108+110+120+117.3
Draw+240+250+250+245+253+245+253+257.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Parma+225-+253-+200+260+260+285.0
Lecce+125-+108-+110+110+110+117.3
Draw+235-+247-+215+240+247+257.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Lecce: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 0.0%
Lecce: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +236 to +227
Lecce ML moved from +121 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Parma: 0.0%
Lecce: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Parma: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Parma ML moved from +220 to +200
Lecce ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-114o2½-112o2½-105o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-110u2½-103u2½-108u2½-115u2½-106u2½-115u2½-103u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-125o2½-108-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½+105u2½-112-u2½-110u2½-115u2½+105u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.98%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 414.61%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.58%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.78%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 036.20%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 019.27%
Exactly 131.73%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 314.34%
Exactly 45.90%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.15%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.10%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 062.47%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 046.66%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 213.56%
Exactly 33.44%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Parma
Wins by 2+ goals8.37%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals27.89%
Wins by 3+ goals11.93%
Wins by 4+ goals4.17%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Parma
Lecce
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Parma
Wins by 1 goal14.92%
Wins by 2 goals6.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals15.97%
Wins by 3 goals7.76%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.02%6.98%
1.574.45%25.55%
2.549.71%50.29%
3.527.77%72.23%
4.513.16%86.84%
5.55.38%94.62%
6.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.80%36.20%
1.527.01%72.99%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.73%19.27%
1.548.99%51.01%
2.522.87%77.13%
3.58.53%91.47%
4.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.85%29.15%
1.534.92%65.08%
2.512.77%87.23%
3.53.67%96.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Parma
Lecce
Score012345
0
6.98%
11.49%
9.46%
5.19%
2.14%
0.70%
1
7.09%
11.67%
9.61%
5.27%
2.17%
0.71%
2
3.60%
5.93%
4.88%
2.68%
1.10%
0.36%
3
1.22%
2.01%
1.65%
0.91%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.31%
0.51%
0.42%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Parma
1-07.09%
2-03.60%
2-15.93%
3-01.22%
3-12.01%
3-21.65%
4-00.31%
4-10.51%
4-20.42%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-06.98%
1-111.67%
2-24.88%
3-30.91%
Lecce
0-111.49%
0-29.46%
1-29.61%
0-35.19%
1-35.27%
2-32.68%
0-42.14%
1-42.17%
2-41.10%
3-40.37%
0-50.70%
1-50.71%
2-50.36%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Parma
Lecce
Score01234
0
29.15%
22.22%
8.47%
2.15%
0.41%
1
13.71%
10.45%
3.98%
1.01%
0.19%
2
3.23%
2.46%
0.94%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.51%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Parma
1-013.71%
2-03.23%
2-12.46%
3-00.51%
3-10.39%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.15%
1-110.45%
2-20.94%
Lecce
0-122.22%
0-28.47%
1-23.98%
0-32.15%
1-31.01%
2-30.24%
0-40.41%
1-40.19%