Fiorentina at Parma

Updated

Fiorentina

48.7%25.3%25.9%
Fiorentina WinDrawParma Win
1.56Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Parma

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 3-2 at Atalanta+460
W 3-2 at Cagliari-140
T 2-2 vs Napoli+120
W 1-2 vs Monza-190
L 1-2 at Hellas Verona+130
Parma
Money Line
L 0-3 at Sampdoria+340
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo+575
L 0-1 at Lazio+960
L 5-2 vs Atalanta+1150
L 0-1 at Torino+425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+125+116+115+116+113+116+116+123.5
Parma+220+252+245+266+265+266+266+278.7
Draw+235+241+240+235+243+235+243+246.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina+120-+112--120+110+112+123.5
Parma+230-+269-+260+255+260+278.7
Draw+240-+240-+230+240+240+246.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 10.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +112 to +105
Parma ML moved from +260 to +252

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 10.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from +105 to -120
Parma ML moved from +280 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-115o2½-112o2½-114o2½-110o2½-114o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½-108u2½-102u2½-108u2½-106u2½-104u2½-106u2½-102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½+100-u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.28%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 414.30%
Exactly 63.27%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.07%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.49%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 021.08%
Exactly 132.82%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 313.26%
Exactly 45.16%
Exactly 51.61%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.72%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 048.63%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.64%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 061.11%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals24.93%
Wins by 3+ goals10.12%
Wins by 4+ goals3.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Parma
Wins by 2+ goals9.67%
Wins by 3+ goals2.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Parma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal23.69%
Wins by 2 goals14.81%
Wins by 3 goals6.81%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Parma
Wins by 1 goal16.18%
Wins by 2 goals6.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.72%7.28%
1.573.65%26.35%
2.548.67%51.33%
3.526.84%73.16%
4.512.55%87.45%
5.55.06%94.94%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.92%21.08%
1.546.10%53.90%
2.520.56%79.44%
3.57.30%92.70%
4.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.28%29.72%
1.534.22%65.78%
2.512.34%87.66%
3.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Parma
Score01234
0
7.28%
7.74%
4.12%
1.46%
0.39%
1
11.33%
12.05%
6.41%
2.27%
0.60%
2
8.82%
9.38%
4.99%
1.77%
0.47%
3
4.58%
4.87%
2.59%
0.92%
0.24%
4
1.78%
1.89%
1.01%
0.36%
0.09%
5
0.55%
0.59%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
Fiorentina
1-011.33%
2-08.82%
2-19.38%
3-04.58%
3-14.87%
3-22.59%
4-01.78%
4-11.89%
4-21.01%
4-30.36%
5-00.55%
5-10.59%
5-20.31%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.28%
1-112.05%
2-24.99%
3-30.92%
Parma
0-17.74%
0-24.12%
1-26.41%
0-31.46%
1-32.27%
2-31.77%
0-40.39%
1-40.60%
2-40.47%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Parma
Score0123
0
29.72%
14.64%
3.60%
0.59%
1
21.43%
10.55%
2.60%
0.43%
2
7.72%
3.80%
0.94%
0.15%
3
1.86%
0.91%
0.22%
0.04%
4
0.33%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Fiorentina
1-021.43%
2-07.72%
2-13.80%
3-01.86%
3-10.91%
3-20.22%
4-00.33%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.72%
1-110.55%
2-20.94%
Parma
0-114.64%
0-23.60%
1-22.60%
0-30.59%
1-30.43%
2-30.15%