Milan at Inter

Updated

Milan

23.2%24.7%52.2%
Milan WinDrawInter Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 5

Inter

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Roma+165
W 1-4 vs Torino-120
W 2-0 at Bologna+100
W 1-3 vs Hellas Verona-150
W 1-0 at Juventus+200
Inter
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Fiorentina-140
W 2-0 at Cagliari-235
W 0-2 vs Monza-255
W 1-0 at Torino+165
W 2-3 vs Atalanta-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+224+247+235+255+260+255+260+267.3
Inter+123+116+115+116+116+116+116+123.5
Draw+253+245+245+245+240+245+245+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+225-+245-+230+235+245+267.3
Inter+120-+112--105+115+115+123.5
Draw+245-+243-+220+245+245+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
No Steam Moves On Inter ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +230 to +220
Inter ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-123o2½-122o2½-117o2½-117o2½-117o2½-117o2½-106
Underu2½-104u2½+103u2½+102u2½-103u2½-103u2½-103u2½+103u2½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-115-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-115o2½-106
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.16%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 414.42%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.88%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.60%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 036.72%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.43%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 019.50%
Exactly 131.88%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 314.20%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 51.90%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.50%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.94%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 062.89%
Exactly 129.17%
Exactly 26.77%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 046.92%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.44%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals8.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Inter
Wins by 2+ goals27.83%
Wins by 3+ goals11.85%
Wins by 4+ goals4.12%
Wins by 5+ goals1.19%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Inter
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Milan
Wins by 1 goal14.89%
Wins by 2 goals6.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Inter
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals15.98%
Wins by 3 goals7.73%
Wins by 4 goals2.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.84%7.16%
1.573.96%26.04%
2.549.07%50.93%
3.527.19%72.81%
4.512.78%87.22%
5.55.18%94.82%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.28%36.72%
1.526.49%73.51%
2.58.06%91.94%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.50%19.50%
1.548.61%51.39%
2.522.56%77.44%
3.58.36%91.64%
4.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.50%29.50%
1.534.48%65.52%
2.512.50%87.50%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Inter
Score012345
0
7.16%
11.71%
9.57%
5.21%
2.13%
0.70%
1
7.18%
11.73%
9.58%
5.22%
2.13%
0.70%
2
3.59%
5.87%
4.80%
2.62%
1.07%
0.35%
3
1.20%
1.96%
1.60%
0.87%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.30%
0.49%
0.40%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Milan
1-07.18%
2-03.59%
2-15.87%
3-01.20%
3-11.96%
3-21.60%
4-00.30%
4-10.49%
4-20.40%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.16%
1-111.73%
2-24.80%
3-30.87%
Inter
0-111.71%
0-29.57%
1-29.58%
0-35.21%
1-35.22%
2-32.62%
0-42.13%
1-42.13%
2-41.07%
3-40.36%
0-50.70%
1-50.70%
2-50.35%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Inter
Score01234
0
29.50%
22.33%
8.45%
2.13%
0.40%
1
13.69%
10.36%
3.92%
0.99%
0.19%
2
3.17%
2.40%
0.91%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.49%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Milan
1-013.69%
2-03.17%
2-12.40%
3-00.49%
3-10.37%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.50%
1-110.36%
2-20.91%
Inter
0-122.33%
0-28.45%
1-23.92%
0-32.13%
1-30.99%
2-30.23%
0-40.40%
1-40.19%
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