Roma at Monza

Updated

Roma

44.5%26.1%29.4%
Roma WinDrawMonza Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 1

Monza

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Milan+175
L 1-3 at Atalanta+215
W 0-3 vs Udinese-115
W 1-0 at Torino+145
W 0-3 vs Sampdoria-290
Monza
Money Line
W 2-0 at Spezia+155
W 2-3 vs Fiorentina+240
W 1-0 at Inter+685
T 2-2 at Udinese+310
L 2-0 vs Lazio+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+110-+110+108-+108+110+115.2
Monza+275-+290+308-+308+308+322.1
Draw+230-+215+224-+224+224+235.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+120----110+110+110+115.2
Monza+255---+270+285+285+322.1
Draw+220---+200+220+220+235.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Monza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +126 to +118
Monza ML moved from +295 to +289

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Monza: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Monza: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Monza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +100 to -110
Monza ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108-o2-125o2-118-o2-118o2-118o2-107
Underu2¼-128-u2+105u2-102-u2-102u2+105u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-120o2-125--o2-130o2-130o2-125o2-107
Underu2+100u2+105--u2+100u2+110u2+110u2+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.52%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 414.04%
Exactly 63.13%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.47%
Exactly 321.71%
Exactly 57.27%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 023.34%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 224.70%
Exactly 311.98%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Monza
Exactly 032.23%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.66%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.19%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 050.99%
Exactly 134.34%
Exactly 211.57%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Monza
Exactly 059.20%
Exactly 131.03%
Exactly 28.13%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals21.63%
Wins by 3+ goals8.29%
Wins by 4+ goals2.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%
Monza
Wins by 2+ goals11.57%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Monza
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Roma
Wins by 1 goal22.81%
Wins by 2 goals13.34%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%
Monza
Wins by 1 goal17.75%
Wins by 2 goals8.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.48%7.52%
1.573.01%26.99%
2.547.83%52.17%
3.526.12%73.88%
4.512.08%87.92%
5.54.81%95.19%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.66%23.34%
1.542.69%57.31%
2.517.99%82.01%
3.56.01%93.99%
4.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Monza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.77%32.23%
1.531.28%68.72%
2.510.62%89.38%
3.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.81%30.19%
1.533.66%66.34%
2.512.00%88.00%
3.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Monza
Score012345
0
7.52%
8.52%
4.82%
1.82%
0.52%
0.12%
1
10.95%
12.39%
7.02%
2.65%
0.75%
0.17%
2
7.96%
9.02%
5.10%
1.93%
0.55%
0.12%
3
3.86%
4.37%
2.48%
0.93%
0.26%
0.06%
4
1.40%
1.59%
0.90%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.41%
0.46%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Roma
1-010.95%
2-07.96%
2-19.02%
3-03.86%
3-14.37%
3-22.48%
4-01.40%
4-11.59%
4-20.90%
4-30.34%
5-00.41%
5-10.46%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.52%
1-112.39%
2-25.10%
3-30.93%
Monza
0-18.52%
0-24.82%
1-27.02%
0-31.82%
1-32.65%
2-31.93%
0-40.52%
1-40.75%
2-40.55%
3-40.26%
0-50.12%
1-50.17%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Monza
Score0123
0
30.19%
15.82%
4.15%
0.72%
1
20.33%
10.66%
2.79%
0.49%
2
6.85%
3.59%
0.94%
0.16%
3
1.54%
0.81%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.26%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Roma
1-020.33%
2-06.85%
2-13.59%
3-01.54%
3-10.81%
3-20.21%
4-00.26%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.19%
1-110.66%
2-20.94%
Monza
0-115.82%
0-24.15%
1-22.79%
0-30.72%
1-30.49%
2-30.16%