Atalanta at Milan

Updated

Atalanta

28.4%25.0%46.7%
Atalanta WinDrawMilan Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.58
1Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Sassuolo-320
W 4-1 at Genoa+100
W 1-3 vs Lazio+105
W 0-2 vs Udinese-205
W 0-5 vs Frosinone-260
Milan
Money Line
L 2-4 at Monza-126
W 0-1 vs Napoli-105
W 3-2 at Frosinone-135
T 2-2 vs Bologna-140
W 3-2 at Udinese-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+193+204+200+213+214+213+214+224.1
Milan+140+136+135+137+132+137+137+145.4
Draw+254+247+245+240+251+240+251+252.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+185-+198-+165+200+200+224.1
Milan+135-+133-+115+135+135+145.4
Draw+265-+248-+250+240+250+252.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +199 to +193
Milan ML moved from +139 to +133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o2½-132o2¾-105o2¾+105o2¾-102o2¾+105o2¾+105o2¾+114
Underu2½+114u2½+112u2¾-115u2¾-125u2¾-112u2¾-125u2¾-112u2¾-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-125o2½-133-o2½-135o2½-135o2½-125o2¾+114
Underu2½+110u2½+105u2½+113-u2½+105u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-134 to o3+106
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.39%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 415.24%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.57%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.39%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 030.91%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 020.66%
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 313.50%
Exactly 45.32%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.98%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 058.06%
Exactly 131.56%
Exactly 28.58%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 048.19%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.84%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals11.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals23.79%
Wins by 3+ goals9.66%
Wins by 4+ goals3.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal16.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.83%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.76%
Wins by 2 goals14.12%
Wins by 3 goals6.50%
Wins by 4 goals2.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.61%6.39%
1.576.04%23.96%
2.551.88%48.12%
3.529.72%70.28%
4.514.48%85.52%
5.56.09%93.91%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.09%30.91%
1.532.80%67.20%
2.511.49%88.51%
3.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.34%20.66%
1.546.76%53.24%
2.521.07%78.93%
3.57.57%92.43%
4.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.02%27.98%
1.536.38%63.62%
2.513.69%86.31%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Milan
Score012345
0
6.39%
10.07%
7.94%
4.17%
1.65%
0.52%
1
7.50%
11.82%
9.32%
4.90%
1.93%
0.61%
2
4.40%
6.94%
5.47%
2.88%
1.13%
0.36%
3
1.72%
2.72%
2.14%
1.13%
0.44%
0.14%
4
0.51%
0.80%
0.63%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-07.50%
2-04.40%
2-16.94%
3-01.72%
3-12.72%
3-22.14%
4-00.51%
4-10.80%
4-20.63%
4-30.33%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.39%
1-111.82%
2-25.47%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
Milan
0-110.07%
0-27.94%
1-29.32%
0-34.17%
1-34.90%
2-32.88%
0-41.65%
1-41.93%
2-41.13%
3-40.44%
0-50.52%
1-50.61%
2-50.36%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Milan
Score01234
0
27.98%
20.43%
7.46%
1.81%
0.33%
1
15.21%
11.10%
4.05%
0.99%
0.18%
2
4.13%
3.02%
1.10%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.75%
0.55%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-015.21%
2-04.13%
2-13.02%
3-00.75%
3-10.55%
3-20.20%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-027.98%
1-111.10%
2-21.10%
Milan
0-120.43%
0-27.46%
1-24.05%
0-31.81%
1-30.99%
2-30.27%
0-40.33%
1-40.18%