Atletico at Toluca

Updated

Atletico

14.6%19.1%66.2%
WinDrawToluca Win
0.93Projected Goals 2.19
1Final Score 2

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Atletico
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Queretaro-120
T 1-1 vs Tijuana+135
L 0-2 at Pachuca+350
T 2-2 at Mazatlan FC+210
W 1-2 vs America+335
Toluca
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cruz Azul+275
W 0-3 vs Mazatlan FC-330
W 2-3 vs FC Juarez-240
T 0-0 at Guadalajara+200
T 0-0 vs Guadalajara-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+414+491+475+505+512+505+512+527.3
Toluca-153-195-210-197-203-197-195-177.5
Draw+314+375+360+380+380+380+380+397.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+475--+475+525+560+560+527.3
Toluca-190---240-300-230-230-177.5
Draw+350--+350+365+395+395+397.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 40.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+106o3¼-115o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-120o3¼-115o3¼-109
Underu3-117u3½-124u3¼-105u3¼+100u3¼-103u3¼+100u3½-124u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125--o3½+105o3½+100o3½+105o3½+105o3¼-109
Underu3+105--u3½-125u3½-130u3½-125u3½-125u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.43%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 417.42%
Exactly 65.64%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.81%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.85%
Exactly 72.51%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 039.67%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.96%
Exactly 35.23%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 011.17%
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.63%
Exactly 224.59%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.09%
Exactly 311.83%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 065.17%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals4.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals42.67%
Wins by 3+ goals22.75%
Wins by 4+ goals10.14%
Wins by 5+ goals3.83%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico
Toluca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal9.91%
Wins by 2 goals3.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals19.92%
Wins by 3 goals12.61%
Wins by 4 goals6.31%
Wins by 5 goals2.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.90%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.57%4.43%
1.581.75%18.25%
2.560.23%39.77%
3.537.88%62.12%
4.520.46%79.54%
5.59.61%90.39%
6.53.97%96.03%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.33%39.67%
1.523.65%76.35%
2.56.70%93.30%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.83%11.17%
1.564.34%35.66%
2.537.50%62.50%
3.517.90%82.10%
4.57.16%92.84%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.37%23.63%
1.542.28%57.72%
2.517.69%82.31%
3.55.87%94.13%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico
Toluca
Score012345
0
4.43%
9.71%
10.64%
7.78%
4.26%
1.87%
1
4.10%
8.98%
9.84%
7.19%
3.94%
1.73%
2
1.89%
4.15%
4.55%
3.32%
1.82%
0.80%
3
0.58%
1.28%
1.40%
1.02%
0.56%
0.25%
4
0.13%
0.30%
0.32%
0.24%
0.13%
0.06%
Atletico
1-04.10%
2-01.89%
2-14.15%
3-00.58%
3-11.28%
3-21.40%
4-00.13%
4-10.30%
4-20.32%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-04.43%
1-18.98%
2-24.55%
3-31.02%
4-40.13%
Toluca
0-19.71%
0-210.64%
1-29.84%
0-37.78%
1-37.19%
2-33.32%
0-44.26%
1-43.94%
2-41.82%
3-40.56%
0-51.87%
1-51.73%
2-50.80%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico
Toluca
Score012345
0
23.63%
23.97%
12.16%
4.11%
1.04%
0.21%
1
10.11%
10.26%
5.21%
1.76%
0.45%
0.09%
2
2.16%
2.20%
1.11%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.31%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico
1-010.11%
2-02.16%
2-12.20%
3-00.31%
3-10.31%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-023.63%
1-110.26%
2-21.11%
Toluca
0-123.97%
0-212.16%
1-25.21%
0-34.11%
1-31.76%
2-30.38%
0-41.04%
1-40.45%
0-50.21%