Leon at Atletico

Updated

Leon

43.2%27.1%29.8%
Leon WinDrawAtletico Win
1.36Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 1

Atletico

Last 5 Games

Leon
Money Line
T 4-4 vs Toluca-220
T 1-1 at Santos Laguna+266
L 0-2 at America+425
L 1-0 vs Puebla+105
L 0-2 at Atletico+155
Atletico
Money Line
L 2-3 at Pachuca+345
T 2-2 vs Pachuca+240
W 3-1 at Monterrey+450
L 3-1 vs Santos Laguna+145
W 1-0 at Cruz Azul+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leon+190+180+190+189+174+190+190+201.6
Atletico+150+160+157+162+151+157+162+165.0
Draw+210+210+232+231+236+232+236+243.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leon+190-+185-+170+190+190+201.6
Atletico+155-+150-+135+150+150+165.0
Draw+220-+226-+205+230+230+243.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leon: 30.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leon: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leon: 0.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leon ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leon: 30.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Leon: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leon: 0.0%
Atletico: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Leon ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+102o2½+102o2½+103-o2½+102o2½+103o2½+109
Underu2¼-102u2½-122u2½-122u2½-118-u2½-122u2½-118u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115-o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+105o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2½-135-u2½-120-u2½-130u2½-125u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.71%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.88%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.25%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Leon
Exactly 025.66%
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 310.76%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 033.93%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.82%
Exactly 37.14%
Exactly 41.93%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.77%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leon
Exactly 053.27%
Exactly 133.55%
Exactly 210.57%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 060.62%
Exactly 130.34%
Exactly 27.59%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leon
Wins by 2+ goals20.16%
Wins by 3+ goals7.36%
Wins by 4+ goals2.15%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals11.43%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Leon
Atletico
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leon
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals12.80%
Wins by 3 goals5.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.29%8.71%
1.570.04%29.96%
2.544.10%55.90%
3.522.99%77.01%
4.510.11%89.89%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Leon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.34%25.66%
1.539.44%60.56%
2.515.70%84.30%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.07%33.93%
1.529.40%70.60%
2.59.58%90.42%
3.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.20%68.80%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leon
Atletico
Score012345
0
8.71%
9.41%
5.09%
1.83%
0.50%
0.11%
1
11.84%
12.80%
6.92%
2.49%
0.67%
0.15%
2
8.05%
8.71%
4.71%
1.70%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.65%
3.95%
2.13%
0.77%
0.21%
0.04%
4
1.24%
1.34%
0.73%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.34%
0.37%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Leon
1-011.84%
2-08.05%
2-18.71%
3-03.65%
3-13.95%
3-22.13%
4-01.24%
4-11.34%
4-20.73%
4-30.26%
5-00.34%
5-10.37%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-08.71%
1-112.80%
2-24.71%
3-30.77%
Atletico
0-19.41%
0-25.09%
1-26.92%
0-31.83%
1-32.49%
2-31.70%
0-40.50%
1-40.67%
2-40.46%
3-40.21%
0-50.11%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Leon
Atletico
Score0123
0
32.29%
16.16%
4.04%
0.67%
1
20.34%
10.18%
2.55%
0.42%
2
6.40%
3.21%
0.80%
0.13%
3
1.34%
0.67%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.21%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Leon
1-020.34%
2-06.40%
2-13.21%
3-01.34%
3-10.67%
3-20.17%
4-00.21%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-110.18%
2-20.80%
Atletico
0-116.16%
0-24.04%
1-22.55%
0-30.67%
1-30.42%
2-30.13%
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