Puebla at Necaxa

Updated

Puebla

29.1%27.8%43.1%
Puebla WinDrawNecaxa Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.31
1Final Score 1

Necaxa

Last 5 Games

Puebla
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Toluca+260
W 2-0 at FC Juarez+405
L 4-0 vs Atlas+250
W 0-1 vs Guadalajara+220
W 4-2 at UNAM+440
Necaxa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Guadalajara+360
T 0-0 vs Santos Laguna+180
W 1-0 at Mazatlan FC+150
T 1-1 at FC Juarez+310
L 1-0 vs UANL+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Puebla+270+259+245+280+271+270+271+282.6
Necaxa+100+112+115+108+111+111+115+118.2
Draw+235+244+220+245+244+245+245+256.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Puebla+260-+240-+250+290+290+282.6
Necaxa+105-+115--120-105+115+118.2
Draw+250-+242-+235+250+250+256.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Puebla: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Puebla: 20.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Puebla: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Puebla: 20.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Puebla ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Puebla: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Puebla: 20.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Puebla: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Puebla: 50.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Puebla ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-109o2½-108o2½-108o2½-105o2½-108o2½-105o2½+102
Underu2½-112u2½-107u2½-112u2½-112u2½-110u2½-112u2½-107u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120-o2½-115-o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½+102
Underu2½+100-u2½-105-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.73%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 411.94%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.67%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 55.57%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Puebla
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Necaxa
Exactly 027.03%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 310.08%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 41.92%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Puebla
Exactly 062.32%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 26.97%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Necaxa
Exactly 054.57%
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 210.01%
Exactly 32.02%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Puebla
Wins by 2+ goals10.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Necaxa
Wins by 2+ goals19.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Puebla
Necaxa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Puebla
Wins by 1 goal18.24%
Wins by 2 goals7.75%
Wins by 3 goals2.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Necaxa
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals12.71%
Wins by 3 goals5.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.27%9.73%
1.567.59%32.41%
2.541.18%58.82%
3.520.67%79.33%
4.58.72%91.28%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals Puebla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.22%72.78%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Necaxa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.97%27.03%
1.537.60%62.40%
2.514.48%85.52%
3.54.39%95.61%
4.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.99%34.01%
1.529.31%70.69%
2.59.53%90.47%
3.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Puebla
Necaxa
Score012345
0
9.73%
12.73%
8.33%
3.63%
1.19%
0.31%
1
9.94%
13.01%
8.51%
3.71%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.08%
6.64%
4.34%
1.89%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.73%
2.26%
1.48%
0.65%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.44%
0.58%
0.38%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Puebla
1-09.94%
2-05.08%
2-16.64%
3-01.73%
3-12.26%
3-21.48%
4-00.44%
4-10.58%
4-20.38%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.73%
1-113.01%
2-24.34%
3-30.65%
Necaxa
0-112.73%
0-28.33%
1-28.51%
0-33.63%
1-33.71%
2-31.89%
0-41.19%
1-41.21%
2-40.62%
3-40.21%
0-50.31%
1-50.32%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Puebla
Necaxa
Score01234
0
34.01%
20.60%
6.24%
1.26%
0.19%
1
16.08%
9.74%
2.95%
0.60%
0.09%
2
3.80%
2.30%
0.70%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.60%
0.36%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Puebla
1-016.08%
2-03.80%
2-12.30%
3-00.60%
3-10.36%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.01%
1-19.74%
2-20.70%
Necaxa
0-120.60%
0-26.24%
1-22.95%
0-31.26%
1-30.60%
2-30.14%
0-40.19%
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