Toluca at Puebla

Updated

Toluca

30.0%26.7%43.3%
Toluca WinDrawPuebla Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.39
2Final Score 1

Puebla

Last 5 Games

Toluca
Money Line
W 2-3 vs UANL+125
T 3-3 at Tijuana+193
W 1-4 vs Mazatlan FC-300
L 0-1 at Queretaro+105
W 0-2 vs Atletico-150
Puebla
Money Line
W 2-0 at FC Juarez+405
L 4-0 vs Atlas+250
W 0-1 vs Guadalajara+220
W 4-2 at UNAM+440
L 2-3 at Santos Laguna+460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+140-107-110-110-106-110-106-102.4
Puebla+185+282+270+292+290+292+292+305.8
Draw+230+281+270+290+280+290+290+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+110--107--130-105-105-102.4
Puebla+230-+255-+240+260+260+305.8
Draw+270-+285-+270+280+285+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Puebla: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 0.0%
Puebla: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toluca: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Puebla: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Puebla ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Puebla: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 0.0%
Puebla: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toluca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Puebla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Puebla ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o3+101o3+102o2¾-125o3+112o2¾-125o3+112o2¾-114
Underu2½+100u3-119u3-122u2¾+105u3-127u2¾+105u3-119u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110-o3+113-o3+105o2½-155o2½-150o2¾-114
Underu3-130-u3-133-u3-135u2½+135u3-133u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.24%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 413.33%
Exactly 62.77%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.57%
Exactly 321.36%
Exactly 56.66%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 033.04%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Puebla
Exactly 024.93%
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 224.05%
Exactly 311.14%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.48%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.10%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 059.89%
Exactly 130.70%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Puebla
Exactly 052.57%
Exactly 133.81%
Exactly 210.87%
Exactly 32.33%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals11.67%
Wins by 3+ goals3.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Puebla
Wins by 2+ goals20.47%
Wins by 3+ goals7.58%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Toluca
Puebla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal18.19%
Wins by 2 goals8.19%
Wins by 3 goals2.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Puebla
Wins by 1 goal22.81%
Wins by 2 goals12.89%
Wins by 3 goals5.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.76%8.24%
1.571.20%28.80%
2.545.53%54.47%
3.524.17%75.83%
4.510.83%89.17%
5.54.18%95.82%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.96%33.04%
1.530.37%69.63%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Puebla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.07%24.93%
1.540.44%59.56%
2.516.39%83.61%
3.55.25%94.75%
4.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.52%31.48%
1.532.14%67.86%
2.511.11%88.89%
3.53.01%96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toluca
Puebla
Score012345
0
8.24%
11.44%
7.95%
3.68%
1.28%
0.35%
1
9.12%
12.67%
8.80%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
5.05%
7.02%
4.87%
2.26%
0.78%
0.22%
3
1.86%
2.59%
1.80%
0.83%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.52%
0.72%
0.50%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Toluca
1-09.12%
2-05.05%
2-17.02%
3-01.86%
3-12.59%
3-21.80%
4-00.52%
4-10.72%
4-20.50%
4-30.23%
5-00.11%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.24%
1-112.67%
2-24.87%
3-30.83%
Puebla
0-111.44%
0-27.95%
1-28.80%
0-33.68%
1-34.07%
2-32.26%
0-41.28%
1-41.41%
2-40.78%
3-40.29%
0-50.35%
1-50.39%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Toluca
Puebla
Score01234
0
31.48%
20.25%
6.51%
1.40%
0.22%
1
16.14%
10.38%
3.34%
0.72%
0.12%
2
4.14%
2.66%
0.86%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.71%
0.45%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Toluca
1-016.14%
2-04.14%
2-12.66%
3-00.71%
3-10.45%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.48%
1-110.38%
2-20.86%
Puebla
0-120.25%
0-26.51%
1-23.34%
0-31.40%
1-30.72%
2-30.18%
0-40.22%
1-40.12%
UNAM at Queretaro
Queretaro at Tijuana