Atlas at Toluca

Updated

Atlas

13.0%18.7%68.3%
WinDrawToluca Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.19
1Final Score 4

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Atlas
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Queretaro-155
L 0-3 at America+395
W 0-2 vs Pachuca+160
L 1-2 at Atletico+185
W 1-2 vs UNAM+200
Toluca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santos Laguna-180
T 2-2 at Pachuca+150
W 0-4 vs Tijuana-230
W 2-1 at Monterrey+265
W 1-2 vs Atletico-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlas+472+459+460+502+484+502+502+523.5
Toluca-168-166-180-178-174-178-166-161.9
Draw+320+323+310+336+324+336+336+351.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlas+465--+440+430+450+450+523.5
Toluca-175---190-210-175-175-161.9
Draw+320--+320+285+335+330+351.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlas: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlas: 20.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlas ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlas: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlas: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlas ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o3+112o2¾-115o2¾-119o2¾-115o2¾-119o2¾-115o2¾-108
Underu3-132u3-132u2¾-105u2¾-101u2¾-103u2¾-101u3-132u2¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145--o2½-145o2½-150o2½-145o2½-145o2¾-108
Underu2½+125--u2½+125u2½+120u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.84%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 416.96%
Exactly 65.18%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.66%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.27%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlas
Exactly 043.31%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.16%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 011.17%
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 410.74%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.61%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlas
Exactly 067.88%
Exactly 126.30%
Exactly 25.09%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlas
Wins by 2+ goals3.88%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals44.45%
Wins by 3+ goals23.88%
Wins by 4+ goals10.71%
Wins by 5+ goals4.06%
Wins by 6+ goals1.31%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlas
Toluca
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atlas
Wins by 1 goal9.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal23.80%
Wins by 2 goals20.57%
Wins by 3 goals13.18%
Wins by 4 goals6.64%
Wins by 5 goals2.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.96%
Wins by 7 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.16%4.84%
1.580.51%19.49%
2.558.31%41.69%
3.535.91%64.09%
4.518.95%81.05%
5.58.68%91.32%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Atlas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.69%43.31%
1.520.45%79.55%
2.55.28%94.72%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.83%11.17%
1.564.34%35.66%
2.537.51%62.49%
3.517.90%82.10%
4.57.16%92.84%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.39%24.61%
1.540.89%59.11%
2.516.70%83.30%
3.55.40%94.60%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlas
Toluca
Score012345
0
4.84%
10.61%
11.62%
8.49%
4.65%
2.04%
1
4.05%
8.87%
9.72%
7.10%
3.89%
1.71%
2
1.69%
3.71%
4.07%
2.97%
1.63%
0.71%
3
0.47%
1.04%
1.13%
0.83%
0.45%
0.20%
Atlas
1-04.05%
2-01.69%
2-13.71%
3-00.47%
3-11.04%
3-21.13%
Draw
0-04.84%
1-18.87%
2-24.07%
3-30.83%
Toluca
0-110.61%
0-211.62%
1-29.72%
0-38.49%
1-37.10%
2-32.97%
0-44.65%
1-43.89%
2-41.63%
3-40.45%
0-52.04%
1-51.71%
2-50.71%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlas
Toluca
Score012345
0
24.61%
24.97%
12.67%
4.29%
1.09%
0.22%
1
9.53%
9.67%
4.91%
1.66%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.85%
1.87%
0.95%
0.32%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atlas
1-09.53%
2-01.85%
2-11.87%
3-00.24%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-024.61%
1-19.67%
2-20.95%
Toluca
0-124.97%
0-212.67%
1-24.91%
0-34.29%
1-31.66%
2-30.32%
0-41.09%
1-40.42%
0-50.22%