Atletico at Necaxa

Updated

Atletico

28.6%26.8%44.6%
Atletico WinDrawNecaxa Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.39
1Final Score 1

Necaxa

Last 5 Games

Atletico
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Puebla-165
W 4-2 at FC Juarez+175
L 0-3 at UNAM+380
W 0-1 vs Monterrey+210
W 1-3 vs Santos Laguna-205
Necaxa
Money Line
L 2-6 at Pachuca+320
L 3-1 vs Toluca+180
L 2-3 at Guadalajara+375
L 2-1 vs Tijuana-150
L 0-3 at Cruz Azul+530

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+220+163+150+163+155+163+163+172.3
Necaxa+110+161+160+163+160+163+163+172.3
Draw+255+262+245+264+259+264+264+276.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+225--+155+195+155+195+172.3
Necaxa+115--+140+100+165+165+172.3
Draw+260--+250+245+255+255+276.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Necaxa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 0.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Necaxa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 80.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3+107o2¾-122o3+104o2¾-122o3+104o2¾-122o3+113
Underu2¾-102u3-126u2¾+102u3-124u2¾+100u3-124u3-124u3-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110--o3+110o3+105o3+110o3+110o3+113
Underu3-130--u3-130u3-135u3-130u3-130u3-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 034.69%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Necaxa
Exactly 024.79%
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 311.21%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 061.25%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Necaxa
Exactly 052.42%
Exactly 133.86%
Exactly 210.93%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals10.77%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Necaxa
Wins by 2+ goals21.24%
Wins by 3+ goals7.92%
Wins by 4+ goals2.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico
Necaxa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal17.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.67%
Wins by 3 goals2.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Necaxa
Wins by 1 goal23.32%
Wins by 2 goals13.32%
Wins by 3 goals5.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.31%29.69%
2.544.42%55.58%
3.523.26%76.74%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.31%34.69%
1.528.59%71.41%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Necaxa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.21%24.79%
1.540.64%59.36%
2.516.52%83.48%
3.55.31%94.69%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.41%68.59%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico
Necaxa
Score012345
0
8.60%
11.99%
8.36%
3.89%
1.36%
0.38%
1
9.10%
12.70%
8.86%
4.12%
1.44%
0.40%
2
4.82%
6.72%
4.69%
2.18%
0.76%
0.21%
3
1.70%
2.37%
1.65%
0.77%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.45%
0.63%
0.44%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico
1-09.10%
2-04.82%
2-16.72%
3-01.70%
3-12.37%
3-21.65%
4-00.45%
4-10.63%
4-20.44%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.70%
2-24.69%
3-30.77%
Necaxa
0-111.99%
0-28.36%
1-28.86%
0-33.89%
1-34.12%
2-32.18%
0-41.36%
1-41.44%
2-40.76%
3-40.27%
0-50.38%
1-50.40%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico
Necaxa
Score01234
0
32.11%
20.74%
6.70%
1.44%
0.23%
1
15.74%
10.17%
3.28%
0.71%
0.11%
2
3.86%
2.49%
0.80%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.63%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico
1-015.74%
2-03.86%
2-12.49%
3-00.63%
3-10.41%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.17%
2-20.80%
Necaxa
0-120.74%
0-26.70%
1-23.28%
0-31.44%
1-30.71%
2-30.17%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%