Toluca at Necaxa

Updated

Toluca

42.3%26.1%31.6%
Toluca WinDrawNecaxa Win
1.42Projected Goals 1.19
3Final Score 1

Necaxa

Last 5 Games

Toluca
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Puebla-275
W 1-0 at Queretaro-145
T 1-1 vs UNAM+105
W 1-4 vs Atlas-175
L 0-2 at Santos Laguna-180
Necaxa
Money Line
L 2-3 at Guadalajara+375
L 2-1 vs Tijuana-150
L 0-3 at Cruz Azul+530
T 0-0 at Queretaro+130
T 1-1 vs America+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+110+153+150+153+151+153+153+161.8
Necaxa+240+170+165+174+166+174+174+183.6
Draw+230+263+240+264+258+264+264+276.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toluca+125--+120+110+145+145+161.8
Necaxa+210--+180+170+175+180+183.6
Draw+255--+265+255+260+265+276.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 20.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Necaxa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toluca: 20.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toluca: 0.0%
Necaxa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Toluca ML
No Steam Moves On Necaxa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+107o2¾-125o2¾-120o2¾-122o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-109
Underu2¾-108u3-126u2¾+105u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+100u3-126u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105--o3+105o3+100o3+105o3+105o2¾-109
Underu3-125--u3-125u3-130u3-125u3-125u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.8%
 
No47.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.33%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.24%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.15%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.44%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 024.15%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 311.55%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Necaxa
Exactly 030.35%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 38.58%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.82%
Exactly 221.83%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 051.79%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 211.21%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Necaxa
Exactly 057.58%
Exactly 131.79%
Exactly 28.77%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals20.10%
Wins by 3+ goals7.53%
Wins by 4+ goals2.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Necaxa
Wins by 2+ goals13.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Toluca
Necaxa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal22.11%
Wins by 2 goals12.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Necaxa
Wins by 1 goal18.55%
Wins by 2 goals8.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.67%7.33%
1.573.52%26.48%
2.548.49%51.51%
3.526.69%73.31%
4.512.45%87.55%
5.55.00%95.00%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.85%24.15%
1.541.54%58.46%
2.517.16%82.84%
3.55.61%94.39%
4.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Necaxa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.65%30.35%
1.533.46%66.54%
2.511.89%88.11%
3.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.18%29.82%
1.534.10%65.90%
2.512.27%87.73%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toluca
Necaxa
Score012345
0
7.33%
8.74%
5.21%
2.07%
0.62%
0.15%
1
10.41%
12.42%
7.40%
2.94%
0.88%
0.21%
2
7.40%
8.82%
5.26%
2.09%
0.62%
0.15%
3
3.50%
4.18%
2.49%
0.99%
0.30%
0.07%
4
1.25%
1.48%
0.89%
0.35%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.35%
0.42%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Toluca
1-010.41%
2-07.40%
2-18.82%
3-03.50%
3-14.18%
3-22.49%
4-01.25%
4-11.48%
4-20.89%
4-30.35%
5-00.35%
5-10.42%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-07.33%
1-112.42%
2-25.26%
3-30.99%
4-40.10%
Necaxa
0-18.74%
0-25.21%
1-27.40%
0-32.07%
1-32.94%
2-32.09%
0-40.62%
1-40.88%
2-40.62%
3-40.30%
0-50.15%
1-50.21%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Toluca
Necaxa
Score01234
0
29.82%
16.46%
4.54%
0.84%
0.12%
1
19.62%
10.83%
2.99%
0.55%
0.08%
2
6.45%
3.56%
0.98%
0.18%
0.02%
3
1.42%
0.78%
0.22%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.23%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Toluca
1-019.62%
2-06.45%
2-13.56%
3-01.42%
3-10.78%
3-20.22%
4-00.23%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-029.82%
1-110.83%
2-20.98%
Necaxa
0-116.46%
0-24.54%
1-22.99%
0-30.84%
1-30.55%
2-30.18%
0-40.12%