Puebla at Toluca

Updated

Puebla

8.0%13.5%78.5%
WinDrawToluca Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.75
0Final Score 5

Toluca

Last 5 Games

Puebla
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Cruz Azul+490
L 0-1 at UANL+730
L 3-2 vs FC Juarez+125
L 3-2 vs Pachuca+360
L 0-1 at UNAM+480
Toluca
Money Line
W 1-0 at Queretaro-145
T 1-1 vs UNAM+105
W 1-4 vs Atlas-175
L 0-2 at Santos Laguna-180
T 2-2 at Pachuca+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Puebla+585+676+625+725+708+725+725+753.9
Toluca-210-268-290-280-305-280-268-247.1
Draw+362+448+420+465+447+465+465+484.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Puebla+660----+665+665+753.9
Toluca-275-----275-275-247.1
Draw+440----+435+435+484.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Puebla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Puebla: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Puebla: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Puebla: 10.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Puebla ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Puebla: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toluca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Puebla: 0.0%
Toluca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Puebla: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Puebla: 0.0%
Toluca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Puebla ML
No Steam Moves On Toluca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o3-140o3¼-102o3¼+102o3¼-101o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+111
Underu2½+105u3+119u3¼-118u3¼-122u3¼-119u3¼-122u3+119u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135--o3-130o3-130o3-135o3-130o3¼+111
Underu3+115--u3+110u3+100u3+115u3+115u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.93%
Exactly 218.27%
Exactly 418.96%
Exactly 67.87%
Exactly 81.75%
Exactly 100.24%
 
Exactly 110.35%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 513.38%
Exactly 73.97%
Exactly 90.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Puebla
Exactly 045.81%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 213.96%
Exactly 33.63%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Toluca
Exactly 06.40%
Exactly 117.60%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 415.22%
Exactly 58.37%
Exactly 63.83%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 80.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.52%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 45.80%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 314.19%
Exactly 51.89%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Puebla
Exactly 069.67%
Exactly 125.18%
Exactly 24.55%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toluca
Exactly 028.01%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Puebla
Wins by 2+ goals2.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Toluca
Wins by 2+ goals58.00%
Wins by 3+ goals36.54%
Wins by 4+ goals19.63%
Wins by 5+ goals9.07%
Wins by 6+ goals3.63%
Wins by 7+ goals1.26%
Wins by 8+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Puebla
Toluca
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Puebla
Wins by 1 goal5.80%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Toluca
Wins by 1 goal20.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.46%
Wins by 3 goals16.91%
Wins by 4 goals10.56%
Wins by 5 goals5.43%
Wins by 6 goals2.37%
Wins by 7 goals0.90%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.07%2.93%
1.586.71%13.29%
2.568.45%31.55%
3.546.96%53.04%
4.528.00%72.00%
5.514.62%85.38%
6.56.75%93.25%
7.52.79%97.21%
8.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Puebla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.19%45.81%
1.518.42%81.58%
2.54.47%95.53%

Total Goals Toluca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.60%6.40%
1.576.00%24.00%
2.551.81%48.19%
3.529.66%70.34%
4.514.44%85.56%
5.56.07%93.93%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.48%19.52%
1.548.59%51.41%
2.522.54%77.46%
3.58.36%91.64%
4.52.56%97.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Puebla
Toluca
Score012345
0
2.93%
8.06%
11.08%
10.15%
6.97%
3.83%
1
2.29%
6.29%
8.65%
7.92%
5.44%
2.99%
2
0.89%
2.46%
3.38%
3.09%
2.12%
1.17%
3
0.23%
0.64%
0.88%
0.80%
0.55%
0.30%
Puebla
1-02.29%
2-00.89%
2-12.46%
3-00.23%
3-10.64%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-02.93%
1-16.29%
2-23.38%
3-30.80%
4-40.11%
Toluca
0-18.06%
0-211.08%
1-28.65%
0-310.15%
1-37.92%
2-33.09%
0-46.97%
1-45.44%
2-42.12%
3-40.55%
0-53.83%
1-52.99%
2-51.17%
3-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Puebla
Toluca
Score0123456
0
19.52%
24.83%
15.80%
6.70%
2.13%
0.54%
0.12%
1
7.05%
8.98%
5.71%
2.42%
0.77%
0.20%
0.04%
2
1.27%
1.62%
1.03%
0.44%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Puebla
1-07.05%
2-01.27%
2-11.62%
3-00.15%
3-10.20%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-019.52%
1-18.98%
2-21.03%
Toluca
0-124.83%
0-215.80%
1-25.71%
0-36.70%
1-32.42%
2-30.44%
0-42.13%
1-40.77%
2-40.14%
0-50.54%
1-50.20%
0-60.12%
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