Atletico at Leon

Updated

Atletico

20.3%23.2%56.5%
Atletico WinDrawLeon Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.78
0Final Score 1

Leon

Last 5 Games

Atletico
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Cruz Azul+360
L 0-1 at UANL+550
W 1-2 vs Atlas+155
L 1-2 at Toluca+560
W 0-4 vs Queretaro-120
Leon
Money Line
L 0-2 at Guadalajara+375
L 2-1 vs Cruz Azul+295
L 1-2 at Tijuana+250
T 1-1 vs Santos Laguna-180
T 1-1 vs Necaxa+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+221+173+220+172+170+172+220+181.5
Leon+125+143+105+145+136+145+145+153.5
Draw+252+281+290+286+288+286+290+299.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico+250--+215+205+195+215+181.5
Leon+105--+100-110+130+130+153.5
Draw+260--+260+260+265+265+299.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Leon: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atletico: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 90.0%
Leon: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Leon ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leon: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico: 0.0%
Leon: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atletico: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico: 80.0%
Leon: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico ML
No Steam Moves On Leon ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-126o3-125o3-105o3-123o3-122o3-123o3-105o3-112
Underu2½+108u3+106u3-115u3+103u3+102u3+103u3+106u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145--o3-120o3-110o3-120o3-110o3-112
Underu2½+125--u3+100u3-120u3+100u3+100u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.46%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 415.16%
Exactly 63.79%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.70%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.30%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico
Exactly 038.17%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Leon
Exactly 016.93%
Exactly 130.07%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 315.81%
Exactly 47.02%
Exactly 52.49%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.13%
Exactly 222.62%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 39.56%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico
Exactly 064.02%
Exactly 128.55%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leon
Exactly 043.94%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.86%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico
Wins by 2+ goals6.91%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Leon
Wins by 2+ goals31.91%
Wins by 3+ goals14.51%
Wins by 4+ goals5.41%
Wins by 5+ goals1.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico
Leon
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico
Wins by 1 goal13.30%
Wins by 2 goals5.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Leon
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals17.40%
Wins by 3 goals9.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.74%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.54%6.46%
1.575.83%24.17%
2.551.59%48.41%
3.529.45%70.55%
4.514.29%85.71%
5.55.99%94.01%
6.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Atletico Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.83%38.17%
1.525.07%74.93%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Leon Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.07%16.93%
1.553.00%47.00%
2.526.29%73.71%
3.510.49%89.51%
4.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.87%28.13%
1.536.19%63.81%
2.513.56%86.44%
3.54.00%96.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico
Leon
Score012345
0
6.46%
11.48%
10.19%
6.03%
2.68%
0.95%
1
6.22%
11.05%
9.82%
5.81%
2.58%
0.92%
2
3.00%
5.32%
4.73%
2.80%
1.24%
0.44%
3
0.96%
1.71%
1.52%
0.90%
0.40%
0.14%
4
0.23%
0.41%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.03%
Atletico
1-06.22%
2-03.00%
2-15.32%
3-00.96%
3-11.71%
3-21.52%
4-00.23%
4-10.41%
4-20.37%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.46%
1-111.05%
2-24.73%
3-30.90%
Leon
0-111.48%
0-210.19%
1-29.82%
0-36.03%
1-35.81%
2-32.80%
0-42.68%
1-42.58%
2-41.24%
3-40.40%
0-50.95%
1-50.92%
2-50.44%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico
Leon
Score01234
0
28.13%
23.13%
9.51%
2.61%
0.54%
1
12.55%
10.32%
4.24%
1.16%
0.24%
2
2.80%
2.30%
0.95%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.42%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico
1-012.55%
2-02.80%
2-12.30%
3-00.42%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.13%
1-110.32%
2-20.95%
Leon
0-123.13%
0-29.51%
1-24.24%
0-32.61%
1-31.16%
2-30.26%
0-40.54%
1-40.24%
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