Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
49.6%50.4%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.77Projected Runs 3.81
5Final Score 7

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-23.061.144

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-24.451.052

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-4 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Javier Assad+125
L 5-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • CIN: Frankie Montas-120
L 7-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • CIN: Andrew Abbott-126
W 1-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • CIN: Nick Lodolo-150
W 1-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto • CIN: Brent Suter+185
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Javier Assad-128
L 4-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jameson Taillon • MIL: Colin Rea+111
L 6-10 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Shota Imanaga • MIL: Bryse Wilson-140
W 6-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Ben Brown • MIL: Freddy Peralta+150
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Robert Gasser-104

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PIan Gibaut60-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson60-day IL
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-StrandQuestionable
  • PEmilio Pagan15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PYency Almonte15-day IL
  • PColten Brewer15-day IL
  • -Daniel Palencia15-day IL
  • PKeegan Thompson15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)66°66°65°65°
Humidity88%88%88%90%
Precipitation49%41%34%26%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+120+123+121+127+127+127+127+131.6
Cubs-130-133-144-138-137-138-133-131.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+123+123+128+123+125+123+128+131.6
Cubs-133-133-140-138-135-133-133-131.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Cubs ML moved from -129 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-196+1½-168-+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-168+1½-162
Cubs-1½+160-1½+152--1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-192+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-162
Cubs-1½+170-1½+165-1½+163-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½-103-o7-125o7-120o7-125o7-120o7-114
Underu7+100u7½-113-u7+105u7+100u7+105u7½-113u7+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7-125o7-125o7½+100o7-120o7-125o7-120o7-114
Underu7+100u7+105u7+105u7½-120u7+100u7+105u7½-120u7+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-110 to o7-120
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120