Twins at Astros

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
50.7%49.3%
Twins WinAstros Win
4.71Projected Runs 4.65
4Final Score 3
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Simeon Woods Richardson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-02.71.1

Hunter Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-56.391.642

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 2-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Framber Valdez+110
W 6-1 at Houston AstrosMIN: Pablo López • HOU: Ronel Blanco+106
W 6-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch IV • MIN: Chris Paddack-154
L 6-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Bailey Ober-128
W 2-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+121
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Framber Valdez-116
L 6-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Pablo López • HOU: Ronel Blanco-108
W 4-0 at Seattle MarinersHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • SEA: Logan Gilbert+122
L 1-2 at Seattle MarinersHOU: Justin Verlander • SEA: George Kirby+100
L 2-4 at Seattle MarinersHOU: Hunter Brown • SEA: Luis Castillo+115

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
  • 3BKyle FarmerRest
  • SSCarlos CorreaRest
  • SSAustin MartinRest
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
  • CFManuel MargotRest

Houston Astros

Status
  • 2BJose AltuveRest
  • PCristian Javier15-day IL
  • CYainer DiazRest
SSE 7 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°89°90°91°
Humidity74%72%69%68%
Precipitation40%40%40%40%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+124+131+121+138+136+138+138+142.8
Astros-135-141-144-150-146-150-141-142.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+120+139+136+134+136+137+139+142.8
Astros-130-149-149-149-148-152-148-142.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +114 to +107
Astros ML moved from -135 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +138 to +129
Astros ML moved from -140 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-153+1½-175+1½-157+1½-165+1½-157+1½-153+1½-145
Astros-1½+150-1½+137-1½+150-1½+137-1½+145-1½+137-1½+150-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-175+1½-160+1½-158+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145
Astros-1½+155-1½+140-1½+139-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-103o9+100o8-106o8-110o8-106o8-103o8+104
Underu8½-105u8-113u9-120u8-114u8-110u8-114u9-120u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-110o8-105o8+100o8-110o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8½-105u8-110u8-115u8-120u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 80.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-106 to u8-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115