Royals at Twins

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
50.8%49.2%
Royals WinTwins Win
3.89Projected Runs 3.80
6Final Score 7
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Daniel Lynch IV (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.571

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-24.391.392

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 6-1 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Bailey Ober+121
L 2-4 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson-130
L 5-6 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Alec Marsh • MIN: Joe Ryan+158
L 1-4 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Michael Wacha • TBR: Taj Bradley+108
W 7-4 at Tampa Bay RaysKCR: Brady Singer • TBR: Aaron Civale-106
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Bailey Ober-128
W 2-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+121
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • MIN: Joe Ryan-161
L 6-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Gerson Garabito • MIN: Pablo López-160
W 3-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Michael Lorenzen • MIN: Chris Paddack-140

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • DHVinnie PasquantinoUnknown
  • 2BMichael Massey10-day IL
  • PBrady SingerUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PBrock Stewart15-day IL
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
S 14 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°75°77°78°
Humidity47%44%43%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 14 mphS 13 mphS 13 mphSSE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+107+140+107+143+144+143+144+148.1
Twins-117-152-128-156-154-156-128-148.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+114+144+143+141+142+143+144+148.1
Twins-124-154-157-156-155-158-154-148.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +112 to +105
Twins ML moved from -145 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 40.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Royals ML
Twins ML moved from -148 to -157

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-205+1½-148+1½-200+1½-195+1½-155+1½-155+1½-148+1½-143
Twins-1½+175-1½+132-1½+170-1½+170-1½+135-1½+135-1½+170-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-200+1½-155+1½-152+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-152+1½-143
Twins-1½+175-1½+135-1½+133-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-118o7½-120o8½-101o8½+100o8½-101o7½-120o8½+108
Underu7½+100u8+102u7½+100u8½-119u8½-120u8½-119u8+102u8½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100o8½+108
Underu8-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-120u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-125 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8½+100
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8½-120