Red Sox at Rays

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(79-78)
Rank19
R/G4.7
RA/G4.6
44.8%55.2%
Red Sox WinRays Win
3.98Projected Runs 4.53
0Final Score 2

Tampa Bay Rays

(78-78)
Rank20
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.7
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G3.8
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2814-74.61.376

Zack Littell (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
277-93.731.293

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 2-1 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Tanner Houck • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+105
L 3-8 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Shane Baz-130
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Carlos Rodon+156
W 7-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Gerrit Cole+175
L 4-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Richard Fitts • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+159
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • TBR: Ryan Pepiot-106
W 3-8 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • TBR: Shane Baz+123
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Taj Bradley • CLE: Ben Lively+111
L 1-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Joey Cantillo+128
W 3-1 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Zack Littell • CLE: Tanner Bibee+175

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PJeffrey SpringsOut for Season
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-109-114-109-112-109-109-103.8
Rays-110-101-106-101+102-101+102+103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+100-110-110-107-110-110-107-103.8
Rays-110+100+100-108+100+100+100+103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -106 to -113
Rays ML moved from +102 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -105
Rays ML moved from +100 to -102

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-215-1½+157-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+157-1½+162
Rays-1½+185+1½-173+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-162
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-216+1½-230+1½-230+1½-230+1½-240+1½-230+1½-230-1½+162
Rays-1½+190-1½+195-1½+200-1½+190-1½+200-1½+200-1½+200+1½-162

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o8-108o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu7½-115u8-108u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-108u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu7½-115u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8½-125 to u7½-125
Dodgers at Marlins
Phillies at Mets