Red Sox at Rays

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
48.1%51.9%
Red Sox WinRays Win
4.03Projected Runs 4.22
3Final Score 8

Tampa Bay Rays

(80-82)
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank20
R/G3.7
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
235-104.241.137

Shane Baz (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-33.281.193

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 2-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Carlos Rodon+156
W 7-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Gerrit Cole+175
L 4-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Richard Fitts • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+159
L 1-2 at New York YankeesBOS: Cooper Criswell • NYY: Nestor Cortes+180
W 3-5 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • BOS: Nick Pivetta-128
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Taj Bradley • CLE: Ben Lively+111
L 1-6 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Joey Cantillo+128
W 3-1 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Zack Littell • CLE: Tanner Bibee+175
W 5-2 at Cleveland GuardiansTBR: Ryan Pepiot • CLE: Gavin Williams+129
L 2-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesTBR: Shane Baz • PHI: Zack Wheeler+205

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • PBrennan Bernardino15-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
  • PTanner HouckQuestionable

Tampa Bay Rays

Status
  • PPeter Fairbanks15-day IL
  • PJeffrey SpringsOut for Season
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-110-128-136-127-131-127-127-121.4
Rays+100+118+114+117+121+117+121+121.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-109-133-132-130-130-130-130-121.4
Rays-101+123+121+115+120+120+123+121.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -116 to -133
Rays ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rays: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Rays: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -126 to -133
No Steam Moves On Rays ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+132-1½+130-1½+132-1½+130-1½+132-1½+132-1½+140
Rays+1½-180+1½-148+1½-150+1½-152+1½-150+1½-152+1½-148+1½-140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+160-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140
Rays+1½-180+1½-150+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-148+1½-140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-118o8-105o8-108o8+100o8-108o8+100o8+102
Underu7½+100u8+102u8-115u8-112u8-120u8-112u8+102u8-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-115o8+102
Underu7½-110u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-101 to u8-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110
Twins at Guardians
Nationals at Mets