Orioles at Red Sox

Updated

Baltimore Orioles

(91-71)
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
49.5%50.5%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.50Projected Runs 4.56
3Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Dean Kremer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
217-94.271.272

Nick Pivetta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
225-104.381.151

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 5-3 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Albert Suarez • BOS: Kutter Crawford+124
L 3-12 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Cade Povich • BOS: Brayan Bello+111
L 2-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • BAL: Corbin Burnes-200
L 7-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • BAL: Zach Eflin-170
W 0-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • BAL: Dean Kremer-158
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Albert Suarez • BOS: Kutter Crawford-132
W 3-12 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Cade Povich • BOS: Brayan Bello-117
L 7-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Chris Flexen • BOS: Richard Fitts-260
W 5-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Garrett Crochet • BOS: Cooper Criswell-194
W 1-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • BOS: Nick Pivetta-265

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • 3BRamon Urias10-day IL
  • 1BRyan Mountcastle10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell60-day IL
SE 6 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°67°65°64°
Humidity54%59%61%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSE 6 mphSSE 6 mphS 6 mphSSW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+110+122+113+118+120+118+122+122.4
Red Sox-120-132-135-128-130-128-128-122.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+110+118+121+122+122+122+122+122.4
Red Sox-120-128-132-137-132-132-128-122.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +118 to +111
Red Sox ML moved from -130 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Orioles: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +125 to +118
Red Sox ML moved from -123 to -135

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-195+1½-168+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+152-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-190+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-157
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½+102o9-120o9-122o9-125o9-122o9-120o9-111
Underu9½-115u9½-118u9+100u9+102u9+105u9+102u9½-118u9+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-120o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9-120o9-111
Underu9½-115u9+100u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-120
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