Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
50.3%49.7%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
5.06Projected Runs 5.02
3Final Score 12
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.7
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Cade Povich (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-75.761.601

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2612-74.751.38

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • BAL: Corbin Burnes-200
L 7-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • BAL: Zach Eflin-170
W 0-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Shane Baz • BAL: Dean Kremer-158
L 8-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Jonathan Cannon • BAL: Albert Suarez-330
W 0-9 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Nick Nastrini • BAL: Cade Povich-320
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Chris Flexen • BOS: Richard Fitts-260
W 5-7 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Garrett Crochet • BOS: Cooper Criswell-194
W 1-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Davis Martin • BOS: Nick Pivetta-265
L 3-8 at New York MetsBOS: Tanner Houck • NYM: Tylor Megill+106
L 2-7 at New York MetsBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYM: David Peterson+124

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • 1BRyan Mountcastle10-day IL
  • 3BRamon Urias10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • SSTrevor StoryIn Lineup
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL
WSW 6 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)69°67°65°63°
Humidity56%62%66%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindWSW 6 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+105+107+103+108+106+108+108+112.6
Red Sox-115-117-123-118-116-118-116-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+105+108+111+109+110+107+111+112.6
Red Sox-115-118-121-124-120-117-117-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +112 to +102
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Orioles ML
Red Sox ML moved from -117 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-200+1½-183+1½-195+1½-190+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+170-1½+162-1½+165-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-200+1½-185+1½-181+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-175+1½-174
Red Sox-1½+175-1½+165-1½+161-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o9½-108o9½-110o9½-106o9½-105o9½-106o9½-105o9½+104
Underu9½+100u9½-108u9½-110u9½-114u9½-115u9½-114u9½-108u9½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+104
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+105 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-125