Red Sox at Mets

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
47.1%52.9%
Red Sox WinMets Win
4.08Projected Runs 4.38
2Final Score 7

New York Mets

(89-73)
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
288-124.121.097

David Peterson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
168-12.831.321

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-4 at New York MetsBOS: Brayan Bello • NYM: Luis Severino+101
L 1-4 at Detroit TigersBOS: Cooper Criswell • DET: Beau Brieske+100
L 1-2 at Detroit TigersBOS: Nick Pivetta • DET: Tarik Skubal+128
W 7-5 at Detroit TigersBOS: Tanner Houck • DET: Casey Mize-110
L 2-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Bowden Francis • BOS: Kutter Crawford-125
New York Mets
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • NYM: Luis Severino-108
W 2-0 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Sean Manaea • CHW: Garrett Crochet-172
W 5-3 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Jose Quintana • CHW: Davis Martin-180
W 5-1 at Chicago White SoxNYM: Tylor Megill • CHW: Jonathan Cannon-210
W 3-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksNYM: David Peterson • ARI: Ryne Nelson+112

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BDavid Hamilton10-day IL
  • PLucas Sims15-day IL
  • PLuis Garcia15-day IL
  • PCameron Booser15-day IL
  • PJames Paxton60-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • PPaul Blackburn15-day IL
  • PDedniel Nunez15-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezOut
NNE 3 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°70°67°65°
Humidity40%44%50%56%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNE 3 mphNE 2 mphSE 3 mphS 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+127+118+109+115+116+115+118+119.4
Mets-138-128-131-125-126-125-125-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+122+117+118+122+124+114+124+119.4
Mets-132-127-129-137-134-124-124-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +117 to +111
Mets ML moved from -125 to -131

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Red Sox: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 50.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +130 to +122
Mets ML moved from -131 to -148

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-185+1½-168+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-157
Mets-1½+160-1½+152-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-165+1½-157
Mets-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+145-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-113o7½-110o7½-117o7½-120o7½-117o7½-110o7½-106
Underu8-115u7½-103u7½-110u7½-103u7½+100u7½-103u7½+100u7½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-115o7½-115o8+100o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-106
Underu8-110u7½-105u7½-105u8-120u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125
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