Brewers at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
62.4%37.6%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.46Projected Runs 3.16
10Final Score 2
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
3010-83.120.996

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
165-33.971.333

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 5-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa-152
W 5-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene-159
W 0-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIL: Adrian Houser+125
L 7-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIL: Aaron Ashby+110
L 7-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • MIL: Corbin Burnes-112
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa+148
L 5-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene+152
W 1-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Connor Seabold • CIN: Chase Anderson+136
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CIN: Nick Lodolo+113
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Luis Cessa • STL: Jordan Montgomery+220

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • 2BDonovan SolanoUnknown
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • SSJose BarreroRest
  • 2BJonathan IndiaRest
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
SW 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°74°70°68°
Humidity56%62%70%76%
Precipitation0%0%1%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindSW 8 mphSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSW 6 mph
Jordan Baker
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-210-208-220-208-208-208-208-193.6
Reds+192+188+180+190+188+190+190+193.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-210-210-210-220-215-205-205-193.6
Reds+190+185+190+180+193+185+193+193.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -210 to -220
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -220 to -235
Reds ML moved from +192 to +180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-125-1½-123-1½-125-1½-123-1½-123-1½-123-1½-123-1½-114
Reds+1½+105+1½+107+1½+105+1½+103+1½+103+1½+103+1½+107+1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-125-1½-125-1½-124-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-124-1½-114
Reds+1½+105+1½+105+1½+106+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-103o7½-125o8-108o8-108o8-108o8-103o8+109
Underu8-110u8-113u7½+105u8-112u8-112u8-112u8-112u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8+100o8-115o8-105o8+105o8+100o8+105o8+109
Underu8-110u8-120u8-105u8-115u8-125u8-120u8-105u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120