Cubs at Diamondbacks

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
60.1%39.9%
Cubs WinDiamondbacks Win
5.02Projected Runs 3.96
4Final Score 6
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2716-32.491.126

Brandon Pfaadt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
151-86.251.45

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 3-7 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Jameson Taillon • COL: Ty Blach-190
L 4-6 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Javier Assad • COL: Chris Flexen-168
W 5-4 at Colorado RockiesCHC: Jordan Wicks • COL: Kyle Freeland-175
W 2-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Joe Mantiply • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-130
L 3-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Justin Steele-137
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 1-11 at New York MetsARI: Merrill Kelly • NYM: Kodai Senga+112
L 1-7 at New York MetsARI: Zac Gallen • NYM: Joey Lucchesi-145
L 4-7 at New York MetsARI: Ryne Nelson • NYM: José Butto+104
W 4-3 at New York MetsARI: Zach Davies • NYM: José Quintana+118
L 2-5 at Chicago CubsARI: Joe Mantiply • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+125

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 1BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay15-day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFDominic Fletcher60-day IL
  • RFJake McCarthyRest
NW 2 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)99°95°92°90°
Humidity17%20%22%24%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 2 mphESE 2 mphS 2 mphWNW 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-135-129-136-130-128-130-128-124.3
Diamondbacks+115+120+114+120+118+120+120+124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-130-123-123-130-131-135-123-124.3
Diamondbacks+115+113+113+115+121+115+121+124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -133 to -139
Diamondbacks ML moved from +126 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -126 to -134
Diamondbacks ML moved from +120 to +113

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+120-1½+122-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
Diamondbacks+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+118-1½+120-1½+125-1½+118-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128
Diamondbacks+1½-140+1½-140+1½-143+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-108o8½-115o8½-117o8½-115o8½-117o8½-108o8½-106
Underu8½-105u8½-108u8½-105u8½-103u8½-105u8½-103u8½-103u8½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-106
Underu8½-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120