Nationals at Twins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
31.9%68.1%
Nationals WinTwins Win
3.51Projected Runs 5.37
10Final Score 4
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Chad Kuhl (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-18.591.705

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIN: Tyler Mahle+208
L 4-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+133
L 1-0 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • WSN: Josiah Gray+130
W 6-7 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • WSN: Patrick Corbin+210
L 6-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • WSN: Chad Kuhl+158
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • MIN: Tyler Mahle-230
L 5-11 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Kenta Maeda • BOS: Tanner Houck+110
W 10-4 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Joe Ryan • BOS: Corey Kluber-138
L 4-5 at Boston Red SoxMIN: Sonny Gray • BOS: Chris Sale-114
L 0-2 at New York YankeesMIN: Pablo Lopez • NYY: Gerrit Cole+147

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • LFAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • CFGilberto Celestino60-day IL
  • PRonny HenriquezUnknown
  • 2BKyle Farmer10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaQuestionable
  • PJosh WinderUnknown
NNW 12 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)35°36°37°38°
Humidity69%67%65%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNNW 12 mphNNW 12 mphNNW 12 mphNNW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+190+270+260+275+275+275+275+283.5
Twins-210-310-330-310-305-310-305-283.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+240+260+258+250+265+270+270+283.5
Twins-270-320-290-320-325-310-290-283.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Twins ML moved from -304 to -310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +280 to +258
Twins ML moved from -300 to -320

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½+132+1½+135+1½+130+1½+125+1½+130+1½+135+1½+138
Twins-1½-115-1½-148-1½-160-1½-150-1½-145-1½-150-1½-145-1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+115+1½+130+1½+122+1½+118+1½+135+1½+130+1½+135+1½+138
Twins-1½-135-1½-150-1½-140-1½-140-1½-155-1½-150-1½-140-1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-103o7½-105o7½-111o7½-105o7½-111o7½-103o7½-101
Underu8-110u7½-113u7½-115u7½-109u7½-115u7½-109u7½-109u7½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7½-105o7½-110o7-125o7-125o7½+100o7-125o7½-101
Underu7½-120u7½-115u7½-110u7+105u7+105u7½-120u7½-110u7½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7-105 to u7-115