Royals at Phillies

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
29.5%70.5%
Royals WinPhillies Win
3.39Projected Runs 5.49
7Final Score 5
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jordan Lyles (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
202-126.151.287

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-74.431.116

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 2-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • KCR: Brady Singer-105
W 0-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Kodai Senga • KCR: Cole Ragans+144
W 6-7 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • KCR: Zack Greinke+132
W 1-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • KCR: Ryan Yarbrough+155
W 7-10 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • KCR: Jordan Lyles+180
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Michael Lorenzen • MIA: Johnny Cueto-117
L 8-9 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zack Wheeler • MIA: Braxton Garrett-110
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ranger Suárez • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+118
W 4-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Edward Cabrera+107
L 4-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • PIT: Rich Hill-142

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 1BMatt BeatyRest
  • 1BNick Pratto10-day IL
  • PDaniel Lynch15-day IL
  • RFDrew WatersUnknown
  • PJosh Taylor60-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJose Alvarado15-day IL
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
S 8 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°76°75°73°
Humidity72%76%80%84%
Precipitation0%0%25%14%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindS 8 mphS 5 mphS 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+194+222+215+218+220+218+222+225.8
Phillies-215-252-265-245-240-245-240-225.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+200+200+220+222+213+210+222+225.8
Phillies-224-240-244-278-240-260-240-225.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +220 to +210
Phillies ML moved from -244 to -252

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +213 to +205
Phillies ML moved from -250 to -278

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-112+1½+107+1½+105+1½+106+1½+105+1½+106+1½+107+1½+115
Phillies-1½-108-1½-123-1½-125-1½-126-1½-125-1½-126-1½-123-1½-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-105+1½+100+1½+104+1½+110+1½+115+1½-105+1½+115+1½+115
Phillies-1½-115-1½-120-1½-122-1½-130-1½-135-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-125o9-118o9-120o9½+105o9½+100o9½+105o9-118o9½+114
Underu9+105u9+102u9+100u9½-125u9½-120u9½-125u9½-120u9½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9½+110o9½+105o9-120o9½+105o9½+110o9½+114
Underu9-105u9½-120u9½-130u9½-125u9+100u9½-125u9½-120u9½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-113 to u9+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9½-130