Reds at Pirates

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(77-85)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
47.6%52.4%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.23Projected Runs 4.48
4Final Score 0

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-02.531.031

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-25.681.421

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Hunter Greene+183
W 5-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Luis Castillo+161
W 3-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-133
L 8-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta+115
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Dillon Peters+177
L 11-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • PIT: Bryse Wilson+213
W 1-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • PIT: Jose Quintana+213
L 3-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle+127
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta-124

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PNick LodoloOut

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez60-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
E 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
InVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°79°75°74°
Humidity41%48%58%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 9 mphESE 8 mphESE 8 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+125+115+121+121+121+121+121+123.5
Pirates-135-138-131-131-131-131-131-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+129+121+120+123+128+121+128+123.5
Pirates-140-131-131-133-139-131-131-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +122 to +116
Pirates ML moved from -127 to -134

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 50.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +126 to +116
Pirates ML moved from -129 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-150+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Pirates-1½+130-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-150+1½-165+1½-168+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-154
Pirates-1½+130-1½+145-1½+149-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-130o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-125o8-120o8-109
Underu8+100u8+110u8+105u8+100u8+100u8+105u8+110u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-109
Underu8½+100u8+105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+105u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-107 to u8-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105
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