Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
41.4%58.6%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.67Projected Runs 4.60
3Final Score 7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-39.392.217

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-47.011.714

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta-124
L 2-9 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton-115
W 7-2 at Detroit TigersPIT: Jose Quintana • DET: Alex Faedo+125
L 2-3 at Detroit TigersPIT: Dillon Peters • DET: Michael Pineda+145
L 5-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • PIT: Mitch Keller+160
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Dauri Moreta+115
W 2-9 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: JT Brubaker • CIN: Connor Overton+108
L 5-10 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Hunter Greene • MIL: Adrian Houser+228
L 4-18 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta+280
L 3-6 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+210

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLuis Castillo10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
E 9 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)63°66°68°69°
Humidity53%50%48%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 9 mphE 9 mphE 9 mphE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+125+117+125+125+125+125+125+128.3
Reds-135-140-135-135-135-135-135-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+127+127+123+126+125+127+128.3
Reds-130-137-139-133-137-135-133-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +120 to +113
Reds ML moved from -129 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +123 to +115
Reds ML moved from -130 to -137

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-164+1½-170+1½-164+1½-164+1½-164+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+144-1½+150-1½+144-1½+144-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-170+1½-170+1½-164+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-164+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+150-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o8-115o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+104
Underu7½+100u8-105u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-105u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8+100o8-105o8-115o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8-105u8+100u8-120u8-115u8-105u8-115u8+100u8-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-104 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-120