Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
40.5%59.5%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.70Projected Runs 4.70
3Final Score 7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-65.051.256

Justin Verlander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-63.361.193

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-9 at Houston AstrosBOS: James Paxton • HOU: Cristian Javier+115
W 6-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Josh Winckowski • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+105
W 8-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Gerrit Cole+146
W 8-3 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Jhony Brito-124
L 7-10 at Washington NationalsBOS: Chris Sale • WSN: Patrick Corbin-170
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 4-9 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • HOU: Cristian Javier-120
L 7-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • HOU: Hunter Brown-180
L 10-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Framber Valdez-138
L 2-0 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • HOU: J.P. France-138
W 12-5 at Miami MarlinsHOU: Justin Verlander • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-108

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFJarren Duran10-day IL
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
  • DHYordan AlvarezUnknown
  • 1BJose Abreu10-day IL
  • -Phil Maton15-day IL
  • CFJake MeyersRest
SE 13 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°89°88°87°
Humidity61%66%71%74%
Precipitation30%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 13 mphSE 10 mphSE 9 mphSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+147+112+103+109+110+109+112+113.6
Astros-160-121-123-119-120-119-119-113.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+130+110+110+112+111+108+112+113.6
Astros-155-120-120-125-121-128-120-113.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +106 to +100
Astros ML moved from -145 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +118 to +108
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-173+1½-185+1½-178+1½-180+1½-178+1½-173+1½-165
Astros-1½+135-1½+157-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+158-1½+160-1½+165
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-175+1½-185+1½-175+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-165
Astros-1½+135-1½+155-1½+163-1½+148-1½+150-1½+150-1½+163-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-118o8½-115o8½-115o8½-125o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-105u8½+102u8½-105u8½-105u8½+105u8½-105u8½+105u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-125o8½-115o8½-125o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+105u8½-105u8½+105u8½+105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-123
The Under moved from u8½+103 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105