Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
47.4%52.6%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.18
4Final Score 9
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
167-33.341.135

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
238-24.491.226

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-5 at New York YankeesBOS: Josh Winckowski • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+105
W 8-1 at New York YankeesBOS: Kutter Crawford • NYY: Gerrit Cole+146
W 8-3 at New York YankeesBOS: Brayan Bello • NYY: Jhony Brito-124
L 7-10 at Washington NationalsBOS: Chris Sale • WSN: Patrick Corbin-170
L 2-6 at Washington NationalsBOS: James Paxton • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-145
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 7-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • HOU: Hunter Brown-180
L 10-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Framber Valdez-138
L 2-0 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • HOU: J.P. France-138
W 12-5 at Miami MarlinsHOU: Justin Verlander • MIA: Jesús Luzardo-108
W 6-5 at Miami MarlinsHOU: Cristian Javier • MIA: Johnny Cueto-126

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFJarren DuranRest
  • CConnor WongRest
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • DHJustin TurnerRest

Houston Astros

Status
  • -Phil Maton15-day IL
  • RFKyle TuckerUnknown
  • 1BJose Abreu10-day IL
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
ESE 11 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)93°90°89°88°
Humidity54%60%65%68%
Precipitation0%37%41%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 11 mphSE 10 mphESE 10 mphESE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+113+105+109+110+109+113+113.6
Astros-130-122-125-119-120-119-119-113.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+115+114+110+114+107+115+113.6
Astros-130-125-124-120-124-126-120-113.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +113 to +107
Astros ML moved from -123 to -129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +115 to +105
Astros ML moved from -120 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-183+1½-180+1½-184+1½-180+1½-184+1½-180+1½-171
Astros-1½+155-1½+162-1½+155-1½+164-1½+160-1½+164-1½+164-1½+171
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-171
Astros-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+171

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-103o9+100o9-105o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+104
Underu8½-105u9-113u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-113u9-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-105o9-104o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-104o9+104
Underu9-120u9-115u9-116u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-130 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9+110 to u9-115