Red Sox at Nationals

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
60.6%39.4%
Red Sox WinNationals Win
4.28Projected Runs 3.17
2Final Score 6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
157-33.361.145

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
236-94.621.427

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-4 at Washington NationalsBOS: Nick Pivetta • WSN: Josiah Gray-165
W 3-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Eduardo Rodriguez • BOS: Kutter Crawford-129
L 6-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • BOS: Brayan Bello-190
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • BOS: Chris Sale-127
W 0-2 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Austin Cox • BOS: James Paxton-219
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • WSN: Josiah Gray+153
W 7-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ken Waldichuk • WSN: Trevor Williams-137
W 2-3 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Luis Medina • WSN: Jake Irvin-131
W 2-8 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Paul Blackburn • WSN: Joan Adon-114
L 2-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PHI: Aaron Nola+216

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 2BLuis UriasRest
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
  • PJoan AdonQuestionable
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • 3BJake AluRest
SSW 2 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°79°78°
Humidity54%59%60%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSW 2 mphE 4 mphE 3 mphSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-160-146-152-149-146-149-146-141.8
Nationals+147+136+127+137+136+137+137+141.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-167-145-146-165-148-160-145-141.8
Nationals+153+135+133+140+136+135+136+141.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -152 to -158
Nationals ML moved from +134 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -148 to -154
Nationals ML moved from +140 to +133

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+107-1½+110-1½+107-1½+100-1½+107-1½+110-1½+116
Nationals+1½-115+1½-123+1½-130+1½-127+1½-120+1½-127+1½-120+1½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+100-1½+107-1½+100-1½-105-1½+100-1½+107-1½+116
Nationals+1½-115+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-118o8½-120o9+100o9+100o9+100o8½-118o9+109
Underu9+100u8½+102u8½+100u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o8½-110o9+105o9-105o9+105o8½-110o8½-110o9+109
Underu9-105u8½-110u9-125u9-115u9-125u8½-110u9-115u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+107 to o9-108
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+115 to o9+105
The Under moved from u9-120 to u9-135