Nationals at Phillies

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
32.2%67.8%
Nationals WinPhillies Win
3.92Projected Runs 5.75
2Final Score 6
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank4
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
237-115.031.496

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
239-84.581.137

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 0-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Michael Lorenzen+164
W 5-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Josiah Gray • PHI: Ranger Suárez+170
L 4-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Trevor Williams • PHI: Zack Wheeler+235
W 6-3 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Jake Irvin • CIN: Lyon Richardson+150
W 7-3 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Andrew Abbott+205
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 0-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • PHI: Michael Lorenzen-175
L 5-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • PHI: Ranger Suárez-180
W 4-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Trevor Williams • PHI: Zack Wheeler-263
W 4-8 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • PHI: Taijuan Walker-200
W 6-9 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Alec Marsh • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez-220

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PJose Alvarado15-day IL
  • CFBrandon Marsh10-day IL
  • CFCristian Pache10-day IL
SW 8 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°74°73°73°
Humidity85%87%88%89%
Precipitation55%36%26%12%
ConditionThunderstormsDrizzlePartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSW 8 mphWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+214+214+210+214+220+214+220+221.6
Phillies-240-239-260-240-240-240-239-221.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+213+200+216+205+215+210+216+221.6
Phillies-240-240-240-250-242-260-240-221.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +225 to +210
Phillies ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +210 to +200
Phillies ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+100+1½+112+1½+110+1½+108+1½+110+1½+110+1½+112+1½+119
Phillies-1½-120-1½-128-1½-130-1½-128-1½-130-1½-130-1½-128-1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+105+1½+110+1½+109+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110+1½+119
Phillies-1½-125-1½-130-1½-127-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9-103o9-105o8½-125o9+105o8½-125o9+105o8½-114
Underu9½-120u9-113u9-115u8½+105u9-125u8½+105u9-113u8½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-105o9-105o9+100o9-110o9-105o9+100o8½-114
Underu9+100u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-110u9-115u9-110u8½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-121 to o9-128
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120