Nationals at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
37.1%62.9%
Nationals WinReds Win
3.76Projected Runs 5.11
7Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joan Adon (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Andrew Abbott (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-22.351.031

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 6-3 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+164
W 2-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Wade Miley • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+118
L 6-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • WSN: Josiah Gray+150
W 3-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Jake Irvin+181
L 2-5 at New York MetsWSN: Trevor Williams • NYM: Justin Verlander+210
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-175
L 3-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Luke Weaver • CHC: Jameson Taillon+144
L 6-16 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Drew Smyly+145
L 9-20 at Chicago CubsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele+152
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman+116

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CIsrael Pineda60-day IL
  • PPaolo Espino15-day IL
  • PMason Thompson15-day IL
  • CFVictor Robles60-day IL
  • 1BDominic SmithRest
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
  • PHunter Harvey15-day IL
  • 3BJake AluRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFStuart FairchildRest
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonRest
  • LFJake Fraley10-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)88°89°88°86°
Humidity50%49%49%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSE 7 mphSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+185+195+185+190+190+190+195+196.5
Reds-225-220-225-210-210-210-210-196.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+180+195+194+192+205+190+205+196.5
Reds-220-230-214-235-230-230-214-196.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +200 to +194
Reds ML moved from -230 to -240

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 60.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +198 to +190
Reds ML moved from -200 to -214

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-105+1½-103+1½+100+1½-104+1½+100+1½-104+1½+100+1½+105
Reds-1½-115-1½-113-1½-120-1½-116-1½-120-1½-116-1½-113-1½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-110+1½+100+1½-104+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105
Reds-1½-110-1½-120-1½-114-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-114-1½-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½-103o10½+100o10½+100o10½+100o10½+100o10½+100o10½+109
Underu10½-110u10½-113u10½-120u10½-120u10½-120u10½-120u10½-113u10½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10½+100o10½-105o10½-110o10½-105o10½+100o10½+100o10½+109
Underu10½-110u10½-120u10½-115u10½-110u10½-115u10½-120u10½-110u10½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10½-108 to u10½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½-105 to u10½-110