Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
45.7%54.3%
Reds WinCubs Win
4.43Projected Runs 4.89
6Final Score 16

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Brandon Williamson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-24.481.337

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-74.51.352

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 9-20 at Chicago CubsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele+152
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman+116
W 9-0 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • LAD: Michael Grove+152
L 2-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Luke Weaver • LAD: Emmet Sheehan+174
W 6-5 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Brandon Williamson • LAD: Bobby Miller+205
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 9-20 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • CHC: Justin Steele-162
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman-123
L 0-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Steven Matz+122
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Jameson Taillon • STL: Adam Wainwright+102
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • STL: Jordan Montgomery+144

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BElly De La CruzRest
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BNick MadrigalRest
  • PMarcus Stroman15-day IL
  • -Brad Boxberger60-day IL
SSE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°80°78°76°
Humidity54%59%64%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphS 6 mphSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+113+147+140+144+147+144+147+149.1
Cubs-135-157-168-157-157-157-157-149.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+107+142+142+135+141+145+145+149.1
Cubs-117-152-156-160-154-170-152-149.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Cubs ML moved from -163 to -174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +143 to +133
Cubs ML moved from -156 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-133+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
Cubs-1½+140-1½+117-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-145+1½-132+1½-145+1½-140+1½-135+1½-132+1½-124
Cubs-1½+155-1½+125-1½+114-1½+122-1½+120-1½+115-1½+125-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o11-113o11-110o11-117o11-115o11-117o11-110o11-106
Underu9½+100u11-103u11-110u11-103u11-105u11-103u11-103u11+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o11-115o11-110o11-115o11-115o11-115o11-110o11-106
Underu10-110u11-105u11-110u11-105u11-105u11-105u11-105u11+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-120 to o11-110
The Under moved from u10½+102 to u10½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-120 to o11-115
The Under moved from u11+100 to u11-115