Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
44.9%55.1%
Reds WinCubs Win
3.71Projected Runs 4.25
9Final Score 20

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-63.761.209

Justin Steele (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1911-32.871.122

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman+116
W 9-0 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • LAD: Michael Grove+152
L 2-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Luke Weaver • LAD: Emmet Sheehan+174
W 6-5 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Brandon Williamson • LAD: Bobby Miller+205
L 0-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Ben Lively • MIL: Freddy Peralta+120
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • CHC: Marcus Stroman-123
L 0-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Steven Matz+122
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Jameson Taillon • STL: Adam Wainwright+102
W 3-2 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • STL: Jordan Montgomery+144
W 10-3 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Justin Steele • STL: Miles Mikolas+102

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
  • 1BJoey VottoRest
  • DHJake FraleyRest

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CYan GomesRest
  • -Brad Boxberger60-day IL
SSE 5 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°79°77°
Humidity51%56%59%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 5 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+133+151+142+156+153+156+156+161.2
Cubs-145-161-172-170-163-170-161-161.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+152+150+150+148+145+152+161.2
Cubs-150-162-165-178-162-170-162-161.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +151 to +145
Cubs ML moved from -161 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +157 to +150
Cubs ML moved from -165 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-148+1½-138+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-124
Cubs-1½+132-1½+122-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+115-1½+122-1½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-148+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-124
Cubs-1½+130-1½+125-1½+122-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-103o8½-118o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-113u8½+102u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+102u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o9+100o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8-115u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u9-120u8½-105u9-120u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-108 to o8½-118
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o8½-130
The Under moved from u8½+110 to u8½-105